Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39965039›Full record

ArticleCirculation. Cardiovascular imaging2025

Predicting Late Adverse Events in Uncomplicated Stanford Type B Aortic Dissection: Results From the ROADMAP Validation Study.

Dominik Fleischmann, Domenico Mastrodicasa, Martin J Willemink, Valery L Turner, Virginia Hinostroza, Nicholas S Burris, Bo Yang, Kate Hanneman, Maral Ouzounian, Daniel Ocazionez Trujillo and 27 more

Abstract readMulticenter StudyValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in Circulation. Cardiovascular imaging, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

37 authors.

Dominik FleischmannDepartment of Radiology (D.F., D.M., M.J.W., V.L.T., V.H., M.C., A.M.S., G.M., M.H.M., K.B., J.S., K.M.L.), Stanford University School of Medicine, CA.ORCID 0000-0003-0715-0952
Domenico MastrodicasaDepartment of Radiology (D.F., D.M., M.J.W., V.L.T., V.H., M.C., A.M.S., G.M., M.H.M., K.B., J.S., K.M.L.), Stanford University School of Medicine, CA.ORCID 0000-0001-8227-0757
Martin J WilleminkDepartment of Radiology (D.F., D.M., M.J.W., V.L.T., V.H., M.C., A.M.S., G.M., M.H.M., K.B., J.S., K.M.L.), Stanford University School of Medicine, CA.ORCID 0000-0002-6991-6557
Valery L TurnerDepartment of Radiology (D.F., D.M., M.J.W., V.L.T., V.H., M.C., A.M.S., G.M., M.H.M., K.B., J.S., K.M.L.), Stanford University School of Medicine, CA.ORCID 0000-0002-2195-5725
Virginia HinostrozaDepartment of Radiology (D.F., D.M., M.J.W., V.L.T., V.H., M.C., A.M.S., G.M., M.H.M., K.B., J.S., K.M.L.), Stanford University School of Medicine, CA.ORCID 0000-0001-5761-6146
Nicholas S BurrisDepartment of Radiology (N.S.B.), University of Michigan, Ann Arbor.ORCID 0000-0002-5198-4383
Bo YangDepartment of Cardiac Surgery (B.Y.), University of Michigan, Ann Arbor.ORCID 0000-0002-2158-9155
Kate HannemanDepartment of Radiology (K.H.), University of Toronto, ON, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-3077-2218
Maral OuzounianDivision of Cardiovascular Surgery (M.O.), University of Toronto, ON, Canada.
Daniel Ocazionez TrujilloDepartment of Radiology (D.O.T.), University of Texas Houston.
Rana O AfifiDepartment of Cardiothoracic and Vascular Surgery (R.O.A., A.L.E.), University of Texas Houston.
Anthony L EstreraDepartment of Cardiothoracic and Vascular Surgery (R.O.A., A.L.E.), University of Texas Houston.ORCID 0000-0001-6594-6647
Joan M LacomisDepartment of Radiology (J.M.L.), University of Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
Ibrahim SultanDepartment of Cardiothoracic Surgery (I.S., T.G.G.), University of Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.ORCID 0000-0002-1737-4012
Thomas G GleasonDepartment of Cardiothoracic Surgery (I.S., T.G.G.), University of Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.ORCID 0000-0001-5858-6073
Davide PaciniDepartment of Cardiac Surgery (D.P., G.F.), S. Orsola-Malpighi Hospital, University of Bologna, Italy.
Gianluca FolesaniDepartment of Cardiac Surgery (D.P., G.F.), S. Orsola-Malpighi Hospital, University of Bologna, Italy.ORCID 0000-0001-8440-7411
Luigi LovatoDepartment of Radiology (L.L.), S. Orsola-Malpighi Hospital, University of Bologna, Italy.ORCID 0000-0003-2177-186X
Arthur E StillmanDepartment of Radiology, Emory University, Atlanta, GA (A.E.S., C.N.D.C.).ORCID 0000-0002-7911-1920
Carlo N De CeccoDepartment of Radiology, Emory University, Atlanta, GA (A.E.S., C.N.D.C.).ORCID 0000-0002-2956-3101
Edward P ChenDepartment of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Duke University Hospital, Durham, NC (E.P.C.).ORCID 0000-0001-5486-6238
Ricarda HinzpeterDepartment of Diagnostic and Interventional Radiology, University Hospital Zurich, Switzerland (R.H., H.A.).ORCID 0000-0002-4707-3042
Hatem AlkadhiDepartment of Diagnostic and Interventional Radiology, University Hospital Zurich, Switzerland (R.H., H.A.).ORCID 0000-0002-2581-2166
Sandeep HedgireDepartment of Radiology (S.H.), Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston.ORCID 0000-0001-8527-9386
Thoralf M SundtDepartment of Cardiac Surgery (T.M.S.), Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston.ORCID 0000-0002-0409-7028
Sander M J van KuijkDepartment of Clinical Epidemiology and Medical Technology Assessment (S.M.J.v.K.), Maastricht University Medical Center, the Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0003-2796-729X
Geert Willem H SchurinkDepartment of Vascular Surgery (G.W.H.S.), Maastricht University Medical Center, the Netherlands.
Anne S ChinDepartment of Radiology, University of Montreal, QC, Canada (A.S.C.).ORCID 0000-0002-5041-6368
Marina CodariDepartment of Radiology (D.F., D.M., M.J.W., V.L.T., V.H., M.C., A.M.S., G.M., M.H.M., K.B., J.S., K.M.L.), Stanford University School of Medicine, CA.ORCID 0000-0001-8475-2071
Anna M SailerDepartment of Radiology (D.F., D.M., M.J.W., V.L.T., V.H., M.C., A.M.S., G.M., M.H.M., K.B., J.S., K.M.L.), Stanford University School of Medicine, CA.
Gabriel MistelbauerDepartment of Radiology (D.F., D.M., M.J.W., V.L.T., V.H., M.C., A.M.S., G.M., M.H.M., K.B., J.S., K.M.L.), Stanford University School of Medicine, CA.
Mohammad H MadaniDepartment of Radiology (D.F., D.M., M.J.W., V.L.T., V.H., M.C., A.M.S., G.M., M.H.M., K.B., J.S., K.M.L.), Stanford University School of Medicine, CA.ORCID 0000-0002-4401-3837
Kathrin BäumlerDepartment of Radiology (D.F., D.M., M.J.W., V.L.T., V.H., M.C., A.M.S., G.M., M.H.M., K.B., J.S., K.M.L.), Stanford University School of Medicine, CA.ORCID 0000-0002-2126-5919
Jody ShenDepartment of Radiology (D.F., D.M., M.J.W., V.L.T., V.H., M.C., A.M.S., G.M., M.H.M., K.B., J.S., K.M.L.), Stanford University School of Medicine, CA.ORCID 0000-0001-9347-7681
Kendrick M LaiDepartment of Radiology (D.F., D.M., M.J.W., V.L.T., V.H., M.C., A.M.S., G.M., M.H.M., K.B., J.S., K.M.L.), Stanford University School of Medicine, CA.ORCID 0009-0002-0954-9377
Michael P FischbeinDepartment of Cardiothoracic Surgery (M.P.F., D.C.M.), Stanford University School of Medicine, CA.ORCID 0000-0002-0638-2025
D Craig MillerDepartment of Cardiothoracic Surgery (M.P.F., D.C.M.), Stanford University School of Medicine, CA.ORCID 0000-0001-7619-0080

Funding

Multi-Disciplinary Training Program in Cardiovascular Imaging at StanfordT32EB009035 · NIBIB · STANFORD UNIVERSITY · PI Koen Nieman, John M. Pauly · 2008 to 2026
$4.3M
NIBIB NIH HHS T32 EB009035
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundRisk stratification is highly desirable in patients with uncomplicated Stanford type B aortic dissection but inadequately supported by evidence. We sought to validate externally a published prediction model for late adverse events (LAEs), consisting of 1 clinical (connective tissue disease) and 4 imaging variables: maximum aortic diameter, false lumen circumferential angle, false lumen outflow, and number of identifiable intercostal arteries.

methodsWe assembled a retrospective multicenter cohort (ROADMAP [Registry of Aortic Diseases to Model Adverse Events and Progression]) of 401 patients with uncomplicated Stanford type B aortic dissection presenting to 1 of 8 aortic centers between 2001 and 2013, followed until 2020. LAEs were defined as fatal or nonfatal aortic rupture, new refractory hypertension or pain, organ or limb ischemia, aortic aneurysm formation (≥6 cm), or rapid growth (≥1 cm per year). We applied the original model parameters to the validation cohort and examined the effect on risk categorization using LAE end points.

resultsOne hundred and seventy-six patients (44%) with incomplete imaging or clinical data were excluded. Of 225 patients in the final cohort, 90 (40%) developed LAEs, predominantly driven by aneurysm formation. Baseline maximum aortic diameter was significantly larger in patients with (42.6 [95% CI, 39.1-45.8] mm) compared with patients without LAEs (39.9 [95% CI, 36.3-44.2] mm;

conclusionsA clinical and imaging-based prediction model performed poorly in the ROADMAP cohort. Maximum aortic diameter remains the strongest predictor of LAEs in uncomplicated Stanford type B aortic dissection.

Indexed as

Aortic Aneurysm, ThoracicAortic DissectionAgedDisease ProgressionFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsRegistriesReproducibility of ResultsRetrospective StudiesRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsTime Factorsaneurysm, aorticaortic dissectionaortic ruptureassessment, riskcomputed tomography angiographyhypertensionvalidation study

Identifiers

PMID39965039
PMCPMC11839160

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.