Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39963658›Full record

ArticleJournal of arrhythmia2025

Number needed to treat for net clinical benefit of oral anticoagulants in Asian patients with atrial fibrillation.

Rungroj Krittayaphong, Satchana Pumprueg, Ahthit Yindeengam, Gregory Y H Lip

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of arrhythmia, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. 2025 Thai guideline for the diagnosis and management of atrial fibrillation.Asian biomedicine : research, reviews and news · 2025
    Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Rungroj KrittayaphongDivision of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Faculty of Medicine Siriraj Hospital Mahidol University Bangkok Thailand.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8684-2361
Satchana PumpruegDivision of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Faculty of Medicine Siriraj Hospital Mahidol University Bangkok Thailand.
Ahthit YindeengamHer Majesty Cardiac Center, Faculty of Medicine Siriraj Hospital Mahidol University Bangkok Thailand.
Gregory Y H LipLiverpool Centre for Cardiovascular Science at University of Liverpool Liverpool John Moores University and Liverpool Heart & Chest Hospital Liverpool UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7566-1626

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Oral anticoagulants (OAC) can reduce ischemic stroke/systemic embolism (SSE) in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (AF) while increasing the risk of major bleeding. We aimed to analyze the number needed to treat for the net benefit (NNTnet) of warfarin and non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs). Methods: We analyzed the results from multicenter national AF registry from 27 hospitals in Thailand. Follow-up data were collected every 6 months until 3 years. Main outcomes were SSE, major bleeding, and intracranial hemorrhage (ICH). NNT was calculated from the absolute risk reduction (ARR) of SSE or absolute risk increase (ARI) of major bleeding or ICH. We compared NNTnet of warfarin versus no OAC, NOACs versus no OAC, and NOACs versus warfarin. Warfarin was also categorized into time in therapeutic range (TTR) < and ≥65%. Results: We studied a total of 3405 patients (mean age 67.8 ± 11.3 years, 1424 (41.8%) were female). The incidence rates of SSE, major bleeding, and ICH were 1.51, 2.25, and 0.78 per 100 person-years, respectively. Warfarin had negative NNTnet -37 compared to no OAC. NOACs had positive NNTnet 101 and 27 compared to no OACs and warfarin. Warfarin with TTR 65% had positive NNTnet 42 compared to no OAC. NOACs had comparable NNTnet as warfarin with TTR ≥65%. Conclusion: Warfarin had a negative NNTnet compared to no OAC. Only warfarin with TTR 65% has positive NNTnet. NOACs had positive NNTnet compared to no OAC and when compared to warfarin.

Indexed as

atrial fibrillationintracranial hemorrhageischemic strokemajor bleedingnumber needed to treat

Identifiers

PMID39963658
PMCPMC11831184

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.