Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39961279›Full record

ArticleVaccine2025

Human papillomavirus type 16 and 18 viral clearance and progression to precancer among women aged 18-25 years enrolled in the Costa Rica HPV prophylactic vaccine trial (CVT).

Mónica S Sierra, Loretto J Carvajal, Peter Dull, Rolando Herrero, John Schussler, Allan Hildesheim, John T Schiller, Rebeca Ocampo, Danping Liu, Aimée R Kreimer and 4 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Vaccine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Comparative Oncologic Outcomes in High-Risk Human Papillomavirus-Positive and -Negative Cervical Intraepithelial Neoplasia.Medical science monitor : international medical journal of experimental and clinical research · 2025
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Mónica S SierraDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD, USA. Electronic address: monica.sierra@nih.gov.
Loretto J CarvajalDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD, USA; Agencia Costarricense de Investigaciones Biomédicas (ACIB-FUNIN), San José, Costa Rica.
Peter DullVaccine Development & Surveillance, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, 500 5th Ave N, Seattle, WA 98109, USA.
Rolando HerreroAgencia Costarricense de Investigaciones Biomédicas (ACIB-FUNIN), San José, Costa Rica.
John SchusslerInformation Management Services, Silver Spring, MD, USA.
Allan HildesheimDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD, USA; Agencia Costarricense de Investigaciones Biomédicas (ACIB-FUNIN), San José, Costa Rica.
John T SchillerDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD, USA.
Rebeca OcampoAgencia Costarricense de Investigaciones Biomédicas (ACIB-FUNIN), San José, Costa Rica.
Danping LiuDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD, USA.
Aimée R KreimerDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD, USA.
Ana Cecilia RodriguezIndependent Consultant, San José, Costa Rica.
Douglas R LowyDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD, USA.
Carolina PorrasAgencia Costarricense de Investigaciones Biomédicas (ACIB-FUNIN), San José, Costa Rica.
Costa Rica HPV Vaccine Trial (CVT) Group

Funding

HPV Vaccine TrialZIACP010217 · NCI · DIVISION OF CANCER EPIDEMIOLOGY AND GENETICS · PI KREIMER, AIMEE · 2011 to 2025
$42.3M
Intramural NIH HHS ZIA CP010217NCI NIH HHS N01 CP011005
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundNew approaches to control HPV infections and prevent progression to cervical precancer are needed. We investigate the probability of viral clearance and progression to cervical precancer in women infected with HPV16/18 without evidence of precancer at study enrollment to inform research efforts targeted at reducing cervical cancer.

methodsWe included 530 women aged 18-25 who tested HPV16/18 DNA-positive and did not have cytological evidence of high-grade-squamous-intraepithelial-lesion (HSIL) at enrollment in CVT. At each visit, clinicians collected cervical cells for cytology and HPV-DNA testing. Those with abnormal cytology were referred to colposcopy, biopsy, and treatment as needed. We estimated the probability of HPV clearance (loss of detection) and progression to intraepithelial neoplasia grades 2 or 3 or worse (CIN2+, CIN3+) based on histological findings by expert pathologists over 4-years of follow-up.

resultsAt enrollment, there were 550 prevalently detected HPV16 and/or HPV18 infections among 530 women without cytologic HSIL. Corresponding probabilities of HPV16 and HPV18 clearance were 68.5 % (95 %CI 63.6 %-73.0 %) and 85.0 % (78.6 %-90.1 %) by 24-months and 82.1 % (78.0 %-85.7 %) and 90.2 % (84.7 %-94.2 %) by 48-months after initial detection. Risk of clearance of prevalently detected HPV16 and HPV18 infections decreased with increasing age by 12-, 24-, 36-, and 48-months after initial detection (p

conclusionsAmong young adult women without evidence of HSIL by cytology, clearance of prevalently detected HPV16/18 infection is a common event, and progression to precancer occurs infrequently but in a sizeable proportion of those with prevalent infection.

Indexed as

Human papillomavirus 16Human papillomavirus 18Papillomavirus InfectionsPapillomavirus VaccinesPrecancerous ConditionsUterine Cervical NeoplasmsAdolescentAdultCosta RicaDisease ProgressionDNA, ViralFemaleHumansUterine Cervical DysplasiaYoung AdultDNA, ViralPapillomavirus Vaccines

Identifiers

PMID39961279
PMCPMC11894763

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.