Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39959899›Full record

ArticleNeurosurgery practice2024

Machine Learning for Individualized Risk Estimation in Anterior Lumbar Interbody Fusion.

Mert Karabacak, Pemla Jagtiani, Alexander J Schupper, Matthew T Carr, Jeremy Steinberger, Konstantinos Margetis

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Neurosurgery practice, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Mert KarabacakDepartment of Neurosurgery, Mount Sinai Health System, New York, New York, USA.
Pemla JagtianiSchool of Medicine, SUNY Downstate Health Sciences University, New York, New York, USA.
Alexander J SchupperDepartment of Neurosurgery, Mount Sinai Health System, New York, New York, USA.
Matthew T CarrDepartment of Neurosurgery, Mount Sinai Health System, New York, New York, USA.
Jeremy SteinbergerDepartment of Neurosurgery, Mount Sinai Health System, New York, New York, USA.
Konstantinos MargetisDepartment of Neurosurgery, Mount Sinai Health System, New York, New York, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3715-8093

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

objectivesAlthough the anterior approach to the spine for anterior lumbar interbody fusion (ALIF) has been shown to be an effective procedure, there are different surgical risks compared with conventional posterior fusion. ALIF patients could potentially receive more personalized care plans that minimize the risk of negative outcomes by forecasting short-term postoperative results before the surgical procedure. The objective of this research was to evaluate the performance of machine learning (ML) algorithms in predicting short-term unfavorable postoperative outcomes after ALIF and to develop an easy-to-use and readily available instrument for this purpose.

methodsUsing the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database, we identified ALIF patients and used 6 ML algorithms to build models predicting postoperative outcomes. These models were then incorporated into an open-access web application.

resultsThe analysis included 8304 ALIF patients. The LightGBM models achieved area under the receiver operating characteristic scores of 0.735 for prolonged length of stay and 0.814 for nonhome discharges. The random forest models achieved area under the receiver operating characteristics of 0.707 for 30-day readmissions and 0.701 for major complications. These top-performing models were integrated into a web application for individualized patient predictions.

conclusionML techniques show promise in predicting postoperative outcomes for ALIF surgeries. As data in spinal surgery expand, these predictive models could significantly improve risk assessment and prognosis. We present an accessible predictive tool for ALIF surgeries to achieve the goals mentioned above.

Indexed as

AlifArtificial intelligenceLumbar fusionMachine learningOutcome predictionPrediction toolWeb application

Identifiers

PMID39959899
PMCPMC11783634

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.