Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39955293›Full record

ArticleNPJ systems biology and applications2025

Deep learning for detecting and early predicting chronic obstructive pulmonary disease from spirogram time series.

Shuhao Mei, Xin Li, Yuxi Zhou, Jiahao Xu, Yong Zhang, Yuxuan Wan, Shan Cao, Qinghao Zhao, Shijia Geng, Junqing Xie and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in NPJ systems biology and applications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Application of Discrete Event Simulation Models for COPD Management: A Systematic Review.International journal of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease · 2025
    Pooled it
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Multi-omics to study chronic respiratory diseases and viral infections.European respiratory review : an official journal of the European Respiratory Society · 2026
    Review
  7. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Shuhao Mei *Department of Computer Science, Tianjin University of Technology, Tianjin, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0007-9505-3699
Xin Li *Department of Rehabilitation Medicine, Beijing Tsinghua Changgung Hospital, School of Clinical Medicine, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China.
Yuxi ZhouDepartment of Computer Science, Tianjin University of Technology, Tianjin, China. joy_yuxi@pku.edu.cn.
Jiahao XuDepartment of Computer Science, Tianjin University of Technology, Tianjin, China.
Yong ZhangDCST, BNRist, RIIT, Institute of Internet Industry, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China. zhangyong05@tsinghua.edu.cn.
Yuxuan WanDepartment of Computer Science, Tianjin University of Technology, Tianjin, China.
Shan CaoDepartment of Biotheraphy, The Second Hospital of Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, China.
Qinghao ZhaoDepartment of Cardiology, Peking University People's Hospital, Beijing, China.
Shijia GengHeartVoice Medical Technology, Hefei, China.
Junqing XieCentre for Statistics in Medicine and NIHR Biomedical Research Centre Oxford, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Shengyong ChenDepartment of Computer Science, Tianjin University of Technology, Tianjin, China. csy@tjut.edu.cn.
Shenda HongNational Institute of Health Data Science, Peking University, Beijing, China. hongshenda@pku.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7521-5127

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 62020106004National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 62102008National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 62202332National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 62376197National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 92048301
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) is a chronic lung condition characterized by airflow obstruction. Current diagnostic methods primarily rely on identifying prominent features in spirometry (Volume-Flow time series) to detect COPD, but they are not adept at predicting future COPD risk based on subtle data patterns. In this study, we introduce a novel deep learning-based approach, DeepSpiro, aimed at the early prediction of future COPD risk. DeepSpiro consists of four key components: SpiroSmoother for stabilizing the Volume-Flow curve, SpiroEncoder for capturing volume variability-pattern through key patches of varying lengths, SpiroExplainer for integrating heterogeneous data and explaining predictions through volume attention, and SpiroPredictor for predicting the disease risk of undiagnosed high-risk patients based on key patch concavity, with prediction horizons of 1-5 years, or even longer. Evaluated on the UK Biobank dataset, DeepSpiro achieved an AUC of 0.8328 for COPD detection and demonstrated strong predictive performance for future COPD risk (p-value < 0.001). In summary, DeepSpiro can effectively predict the long-term progression of COPD disease.

Indexed as

Deep LearningPulmonary Disease, Chronic ObstructiveSpirometryDisease ProgressionEarly DiagnosisFemaleHumansMaleROC Curve

Identifiers

PMID39955293
PMCPMC11830002

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.