Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39951234›Full record

ArticleOncology and therapy2025

Real-World Observational Study of Incidence and Outcomes in an HR+/HER2- Early Breast Cancer Population with High-Risk of Recurrence in Finland.

Ravinder Singh, Samuli Tuominen, Mariann I Lassenius, Merja Auvinen, Astrid Torstensson, Tom Wiklund

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Oncology and therapy, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Eligibility for adjuvant CDK4/6 inhibitors in HR+/HER2- early breast cancer: insights from a large cohort in central south China.Translational breast cancer research : a journal focusing on translational research in breast cancer · 2026
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Ravinder SinghEli Lilly Norge A.S, Innspurten 15, Etterstad, 0601, Oslo, Norway.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0001-6484-1365
Samuli TuominenMedaffcon Oy, Metsänneidonkuja 8, 20130, Espoo, Finland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1879-0739
Mariann I LasseniusMedaffcon Oy, Metsänneidonkuja 8, 20130, Espoo, Finland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0511-3939
Merja AuvinenOy Eli Lilly Finland Ab, Mannerheimintie 117, 00280, Helsinki, Finland.
Astrid TorstenssonEli Lilly Sweden, Gustav III Boulevard 42, 169 27, Solna, Sweden.
Tom WiklundDocrates Cancer Center, Saukonpaadenranta 2, 00180, Helsinki, Finland. Tom.Wiklund@docrates.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9384-9614

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionReal-world data on patients with early breast cancer (EBC) with high-risk features remains limited. This population-based study determined the incidence, outcomes and characteristics of patients with hormone receptor (HR)-positive, human epidermal growth factor 2 receptor (HER2)-negative EBC with high-risk features treated in everyday clinical care in two Finnish hospital districts which represent approximately 40% (2.5 million) of the total Finnish population (5.5 million).

methodsAdult female patients with BC (ICD-10 C50*) diagnosed between January 2012-June 2019 were indexed at the first BC diagnosis and followed until December 2019 or death. EBC was defined as having no records of metastasis within 90 days of index. High-risk status was defined as ≥ 4 positive axillary lymph nodes (ALNs) or 1-3 ALNs with either grade 3 tumor or tumor size ≥ 5 cm. Outcomes included invasive disease-free survival (IDFS), distant relapse-free survival (DRFS) and overall survival (OS) and were assessed using Kaplan-Meier methods and Cox regression models.

resultsAmong the 8678 patients with HR+/HER2- EBC, risk classification was feasible in 8081 (93.1%) individuals. Of these, 1407 (17.4%) were defined as high-risk and the remaining 6674 (82.6%) as low-risk patients. The average annual incidence of high-risk HR+/HER2- EBC in 2012-2018 was 21.8/100,000 women. Five-year invasive disease-free survival (IDFS) and distant recurrence-free survival (DRFS) showed higher risk of recurrence for the high-risk group: IDFS 79.7% (95% CI 77.0-82.2) vs 89.3% (88.3-90.2) in the low-risk group; DRFS 82.4% (79.7-84.7) vs 92.9% (92.1-93.7) in the low-risk. Five-year overall survival (OS) in the high-risk group was 89.5% (87.3-91.4) and was 95.4% (94.7-96.0) in the low-risk group.

conclusionsThis study showed that high-risk patients account for 17% of newly diagnosed HR+/HER2- EBC in Finland. The high-risk profile was associated with increased risk of recurrence, distant relapse and death compared to low-risk patients. The poorer outcomes of high-risk HR+/HER2- EBC emphasizes a clear unmet need in improving the identification and treatment of these patients.

Indexed as

Distant relapse free-survivalEarly breast cancerHigh risk of breast cancer recurrenceHR+/HER2–IncidenceInvasive disease-free survivalOutcomesOverall survivalPatient characteristicsReal-world evidence

Identifiers

PMID39951234
PMCPMC11880475

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.