Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39940088›Full record

ArticleJournal of public health (Oxford, England)2025

All-cause excess mortality following Storm Daniel flood event in Greece.

Evdoxia Valavani, Vasilis Bellos, Fani Apostolidou-Kiouti, Alexis Benos, Elias Kondilis

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of public health (Oxford, England), 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Evdoxia ValavaniLaboratory of Primary Health Care, General Medicine and Health Services Research, School of Medicine, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, 54124 Thessaloniki, Greece.ORCID 0000-0003-0625-9454
Vasilis BellosLaboratory of Ecological Engineering and Technology, Department of Environmental Engineering, Democritus University of Thrace, 67100 Xanthi, Greece.ORCID 0000-0002-6739-3836
Fani Apostolidou-KioutiLaboratory of Hygiene, Social-Preventive Medicine and Medical Statistics, School of Medicine, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, 54124 Thessaloniki, Greece.
Alexis BenosLaboratory of Primary Health Care, General Medicine and Health Services Research, School of Medicine, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, 54124 Thessaloniki, Greece.ORCID 0000-0002-5397-9385
Elias KondilisLaboratory of Primary Health Care, General Medicine and Health Services Research, School of Medicine, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, 54124 Thessaloniki, Greece.ORCID 0000-0001-9592-2830

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundStorm Daniel, characterized as the most severe 21st century flood event in Greece, struck the Regions of Thessaly and Central Greece in early September 2023, resulting in 17 reported direct fatalities.

methodsThis study evaluated all-cause excess mortality in the prefectures of Fthiotida, Karditsa/Trikala and Magnesia affected by Storm Daniel. We compared weekly deaths during the first week and the 90 days following the flood, to expected deaths based on historical trends 2015-2019.

resultsDuring the week of the flooding event, Fthiotida, Karditsa/Trikala and Magnesia prefectures experienced mortality increases of 57% (95%CI: 19%-95%), 40% (95%CI: 13%-66%) and 39% (95%CI: 7%-70%) over expected levels, respectively. A total of 54 (95% CI: 31-77) excess deaths were recorded during the week of Storm Daniel's landfall, with the cumulative number of excess deaths reaching to 335 (95% CI: 250-420) over subsequent 90 days.

conclusionConventional approaches that focus solely on immediate and direct flood fatalities underestimate the overall and actual health risks faced by flood-affected communities. Floods have complex and long-term health effects, necessitating continuous monitoring of the affected communities.

Indexed as

DisastersFloodsMortalityAdultAgedCause of DeathFemaleGreeceHumansMaleMiddle Agedexcess deathsexcess mortalityfloodsStorm Daniel

Identifiers

PMID39940088
PMCPMC12123314

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.