ArticleScientific data2025
A global high-resolution and bias-corrected dataset of CMIP6 projected heat stress metrics.
Article in Scientific data, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.
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Who cites it
5 citing papers in PubMed.
- Vulnerability to high temperature shapes global warming impacts on rice yield.Science advances · 2026Article
- Ground-station and ERA5-Land evaluation for heat-induced labour loss assessment across developed-economy regions in Pacific Asia.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Heat Stress Metrics for US Census Tracts 1998-2020.Scientific data · 2026Article
- Global dataset on heat wave exposure due to the urban heat island effect.Scientific data · 2026Article
- A global high-resolution and bias-corrected dataset of CMIP6 projected heat stress metrics.Scientific data · 2025Article
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Authors and funding
2 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Increasing heat stress with climate change will threaten human health and cause broad social and economic impacts. The evaluation of such impacts depends on a reliable dataset of heat stress projection. Here we present a global dataset of the future projection of dry-bulb, wet-bulb and wet-bulb globe temperature under 1-4°C of global warming levels compared with the preindustrial era using output from 16 CMIP6 global climate models (GCMs). The dataset was bias-corrected against ERA5 reanalysis by adding the GCM-simulated climate change signal onto ERA5 baseline (1950-1976) at 3-hourly frequency. The resulting datasets are provided at fine spatial (0.25° × 0.25°) and temporal (3-hourly) resolution. We validate the bias-correction approach and demonstrate that it substantially improves the GCMs' ability to reproduce both the annual average and entire range of quantiles for all metrics within an ERA5 reference climate state. We expect the dataset to benefit future work on estimating projected changes in both mean and extreme heat stress and assessing consequential health and social-economic impacts.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.