Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39933565›Full record

ArticleNature medicine2025

Epidemiological and genomic evolution of the ongoing outbreak of clade Ib mpox virus in the eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo.

Leandre Murhula Masirika, Jean Claude Udahemuka, Leonard Schuele, David F Nieuwenhuijse, Pacifique Ndishimye, Marjan Boter, Justin Bengehya Mbiribindi, Cris Kacita, Trudie Lang, Christian Gortázar and 6 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 34 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
34citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

34 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Mpox and the one health approach.Dialogues in health · 2026
    Review
  12. Observational
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Review
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Leandre Murhula Masirika *Centre de Recherche en Sciences Naturelles de Lwiro, Bukavu, Democratic Republic of the Congo. leandremurhula@gmail.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0000-0688-5688
Jean Claude Udahemuka *Department of Veterinary Medicine, University of Rwanda, Nyagatare, Rwanda.
Leonard Schuele *Department of Viroscience, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands.
David F NieuwenhuijseDepartment of Viroscience, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1310-5031
Pacifique NdishimyeStansile Research Organization, Kigali, Rwanda.
Marjan BoterDepartment of Viroscience, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands.
Justin Bengehya MbiribindiDivision Provinciale de la Santé, Bukavu, Democratic Republic of the Congo.
Cris KacitaSysteme de gestion de l'incident Mpox (SGI MPOX/COUSP/INSP), Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of the Congo.
Trudie LangThe Global Health Network, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Christian GortázarSaBio Instituto de Investigación en Recursos Cinegéticos, Universidad de Castilla-La Mancha y CSIC, Ciudad Real, Spain.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0012-4006
Jean Pierre MusabyimanaDepartment of Veterinary Medicine, University of Rwanda, Nyagatare, Rwanda.
Saria OtaniResearch Group for Genomic Epidemiology, National Food Institute, Technical University of Denmark, Kongens Lyngby, Denmark.
Frank M AarestrupResearch Group for Genomic Epidemiology, National Food Institute, Technical University of Denmark, Kongens Lyngby, Denmark.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7116-2723
Freddy Belesi SiangoliDivision Provinciale de la Santé, Bukavu, Democratic Republic of the Congo.
Bas B Oude MunninkDepartment of Viroscience, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9394-1189
Marion KoopmansDepartment of Viroscience, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands. m.koopmans@erasmusmc.nl.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5204-2312

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In September 2023, an ongoing mpox outbreak emerged in South Kivu (Democratic Republic of the Congo) that spread to other regions and countries. Here we describe the epidemiological and genomic evolution of the outbreak between September 2023 and June 2024. Samples were collected from hospitalized patients, along with data on residence and possible exposures. Employee numbers and locations were recorded for bars with sex workers. Where possible, exposures were linked to genomic sequencing data for cluster analysis. In total, 670 cases were admitted to Kamituga General Referral Hospital from 17 health areas. Among the cases, 52.4% were in females and 47.6% in males. The majority (83.4%) were linked to professional sexual interactions. Seven deaths occurred, and three healthcare workers acquired mpox. Eight out of 14 pregnant women had fetal loss. Phylogenetic analysis revealed three clade Ib clusters. Longer branches of a sequence clustering with sequences from Kenya, Uganda, Sweden and Thailand indicate more undocumented spread. Mutations were mostly APOBEC3-type mutations indicative of sustained human-to-human transmission. No clear link between sequence cluster, bar or health area was observed. These data suggest rapid spread mostly through sexual contact within densely populated areas. The spread to neighboring countries highlights the need for extended cross-border collaboration, health education strategies focusing on sex workers, contact tracing, clinical care and surveillance.

Indexed as

Disease OutbreaksMonkeypox virusMpox, MonkeypoxAdolescentAdultDemocratic Republic of the CongoEvolution, MolecularFemaleGenome, ViralGenomicsHumansMaleMiddle AgedPhylogenyPregnancyYoung Adult

Identifiers

PMID39933565
PMCPMC12092280

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.