Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39930620›Full record

Observational studyActa obstetricia et gynecologica Scandinavica2025

Predictors for regression and progression of actively surveilled cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2: A prospective cohort study.

Laura Bergqvist, Anni Virtanen, Ilkka Kalliala, Ralf Bützow, Maija Jakobsson, Annu Heinonen, Karolina Louvanto, Joakim Dillner, Pekka Nieminen, Karoliina Aro

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Acta obstetricia et gynecologica Scandinavica, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Observational
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Laura BergqvistDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of Helsinki and Helsinki University Hospital, Helsinki, Finland.ORCID 0000-0002-2047-9392
Anni VirtanenDepartment of Pathology, University of Helsinki and HUS Diagnostic Center, Helsinki University Hospital, Helsinki, Finland.ORCID 0000-0002-7467-8434
Ilkka KallialaDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of Helsinki and Helsinki University Hospital, Helsinki, Finland.
Ralf BützowDepartment of Pathology, University of Helsinki and HUS Diagnostic Center, Helsinki University Hospital, Helsinki, Finland.
Maija JakobssonDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Hyvinkää Hospital, Helsinki University Hospital and University of Helsinki, Hyvinkää, Finland.
Annu HeinonenDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of Helsinki and Helsinki University Hospital, Helsinki, Finland.
Karolina LouvantoDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Tampere University Hospital, Tampere, Finland.ORCID 0000-0002-1172-363X
Joakim DillnerDepartment of Laboratory Medicine, Karolinska Institute, Stockholm, Sweden.
Pekka NieminenDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of Helsinki and Helsinki University Hospital, Helsinki, Finland.
Karoliina AroDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of Helsinki and Helsinki University Hospital, Helsinki, Finland.ORCID 0000-0003-3467-7194

Funding

Finnish Medical Society DuodecimHelsinki Uusimaa Hospital District, Special state fundingResearch Council of Finland
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionTo evaluate predicting clinical factors for regression and progression of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) grade 2 (CIN2) in young women during two years of active surveillance. MATERIAL AND

methodsThis was a single-center prospective observational cohort study. Women under 31 years of age giving written informed consent with histologically confirmed CIN2 were followed with colposcopy, cytology, and biopsies every 6 months up to 24 months. At baseline, HPV genotyping was performed on cervical samples. The rates of regression and progression were recorded for every timepoint and at the end of study overall and stratified according to clinical factors and HPV genotypes at baseline. Risk ratio (RR) was used to estimate the relative risks for regression and progression. The study was registered in the ISRCTN registry (ISRCTN91953024).

resultsIn total, 205/243 (84.4%) women completed the study. Complete regression (normal histology and/or normal or atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance (ASC-US) cytology) was detected in 64.4.% (n = 132) while 16.1% (n = 33) of the lesions progressed to CIN grade 3 (CIN3) or worse including 31 CIN3 cases, one adenocarcinoma in situ and one cervical cancer case. Factors associated with progression were initial large (>50% of the transformation zone) lesion size, risk ratio (RR) 3.06 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.40-6.69), and high-grade referral cytology RR 4.73 (95% CI 1.18-19.03). Compared with baseline HPV negativity or having only low-risk HPV genotypes present, high-risk HPV (hrHPV) positivity was associated with lower likelihood of regression RR 0.74 (95% CI 0.60-0.91). Age, cigarette smoking, use of combined oral contraceptives or baseline high-risk HPV genotype, including HPV16, were not associated with the outcomes.

conclusionsThe majority of CIN2 lesions regress in young women. Women with large lesions and/or high-grade referral cytology should perhaps more often be treated instead of active surveillance. Initial hrHPV genotype does not appear to predict outcomes while not harboring hrHPV favors regression.

Indexed as

Papillomavirus InfectionsUterine Cervical DysplasiaUterine Cervical NeoplasmsAdultColposcopyDisease ProgressionFemaleGenotypeHumansNeoplasm GradingPapillomaviridaeProspective StudiesWatchful WaitingYoung Adultactive surveillancecervical cytologycervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 (CIN2)colposcopyHPV genotypelarge loop excision of the transformation zone (LLETZ)

Identifiers

PMID39930620
PMCPMC11919748

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.