Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39930448›Full record

ArticleBMC public health2025

Trends and projections of hypertensive heart disease burden in China: a comprehensive analysis from 1990 to 2030.

Li-You Lian, Jia-Jia Lu, Ru-Jie Zheng

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Article in BMC public health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

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4citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Li-You LianDepartment of Internal Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China.
Jia-Jia LuDepartment of Public Education, Zhangzhou Institute of Technology, Zhangzhou, China.
Ru-Jie ZhengDepartment of Radiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China. rjeezh@126.com.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundHypertensive heart disease (HHD) is a significant public health concern in China. We intend to provide an updated estimate of the burden of HHD in China between 1990 and 2030.

methodsHHD prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) data were obtained from Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 databases. Temporal trends of HHD from 1990 to 2019 were analyzed using Joinpoint regression models, and projections through 2030 were estimated by Bayesian age-period-cohort model.

resultsIn 2020, an estimated 334,695 newly prevalent cases and 13,196 deaths due to HHD occurred in China. From 1990 to 2019, age-standardized rate of prevalence (ASPR), mortality (ASMR) and DALYs (ASDR) showed a decreasing trend. The behavior-related risk, diet risk and excessive BMI were the most common reasons of death in HHD. According to our prediction, ASMRs and ASDRs will continue to decrease from 2020 to 2030. However, ASPRs will have a moderate rise.

conclusionHHD continues to pose a significant threat to public health in China. To achieve the Healthy China 2030 objective, a tailored approach involving comprehensive strategies is essential. These strategies should include, but are not limited to, enhancing public awareness about hypertension through educational campaigns, improving access to healthcare services for early diagnosis and treatment, implementing policies to promote healthy lifestyles, such as regular physical activity and a balanced diet, and strengthening the surveillance and monitoring systems to track the prevalence and impact of HHD over time.

Indexed as

Cost of IllnessHeart DiseasesHypertensionAdultAgedBayes TheoremChinaDisability-Adjusted Life YearsFemaleForecastingGlobal Burden of DiseaseHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrevalenceChinaGlobal burden of diseaseHypertensionHypertensive heart diseaseProjectionTrends

Identifiers

PMID39930448
PMCPMC11809054

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.