Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39924304›Full record

ArticleJMIR medical informatics2025

Development and Validation of a Machine Learning Algorithm for Predicting Diabetes Retinopathy in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes: Algorithm Development Study.

Sunyoung Kim, Jaeyu Park, Yejun Son, Hojae Lee, Selin Woo, Myeongcheol Lee, Hayeon Lee, Hyunji Sang, Dong Keon Yon, Sang Youl Rhee

Abstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in JMIR medical informatics, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Sunyoung Kim *Department of Family Medicine, Kyung Hee University Medical Center, Kyung Hee University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea.ORCID 0000-0003-4115-4455
Jaeyu Park *Center for Digital Health, Medical Science Research Institute, Kyung Hee University College of Medicine, 23 Kyungheedae-ro, Dongdaemun-gu, Seoul, 02447, Republic of Korea, 82 1091565964, 82 29610680.ORCID 0009-0005-2009-386X
Yejun SonCenter for Digital Health, Medical Science Research Institute, Kyung Hee University College of Medicine, 23 Kyungheedae-ro, Dongdaemun-gu, Seoul, 02447, Republic of Korea, 82 1091565964, 82 29610680.ORCID 0009-0001-3939-2983
Hojae LeeCenter for Digital Health, Medical Science Research Institute, Kyung Hee University College of Medicine, 23 Kyungheedae-ro, Dongdaemun-gu, Seoul, 02447, Republic of Korea, 82 1091565964, 82 29610680.ORCID 0009-0002-1737-2540
Selin WooCenter for Digital Health, Medical Science Research Institute, Kyung Hee University College of Medicine, 23 Kyungheedae-ro, Dongdaemun-gu, Seoul, 02447, Republic of Korea, 82 1091565964, 82 29610680.ORCID 0000-0001-7961-2074
Myeongcheol LeeCenter for Digital Health, Medical Science Research Institute, Kyung Hee University College of Medicine, 23 Kyungheedae-ro, Dongdaemun-gu, Seoul, 02447, Republic of Korea, 82 1091565964, 82 29610680.ORCID 0009-0006-7185-9471
Hayeon LeeCenter for Digital Health, Medical Science Research Institute, Kyung Hee University College of Medicine, 23 Kyungheedae-ro, Dongdaemun-gu, Seoul, 02447, Republic of Korea, 82 1091565964, 82 29610680.ORCID 0009-0000-2403-6241
Hyunji SangCenter for Digital Health, Medical Science Research Institute, Kyung Hee University College of Medicine, 23 Kyungheedae-ro, Dongdaemun-gu, Seoul, 02447, Republic of Korea, 82 1091565964, 82 29610680.ORCID 0000-0003-2557-5911
Dong Keon YonCenter for Digital Health, Medical Science Research Institute, Kyung Hee University College of Medicine, 23 Kyungheedae-ro, Dongdaemun-gu, Seoul, 02447, Republic of Korea, 82 1091565964, 82 29610680.ORCID 0000-0003-1628-9948
Sang Youl RheeCenter for Digital Health, Medical Science Research Institute, Kyung Hee University College of Medicine, 23 Kyungheedae-ro, Dongdaemun-gu, Seoul, 02447, Republic of Korea, 82 1091565964, 82 29610680.ORCID 0000-0003-0119-5818

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Diabetic retinopathy (DR) is the leading cause of preventable blindness worldwide. Machine learning (ML) systems can enhance DR in community-based screening. However, predictive power models for usability and performance are still being determined. Objective: This study used data from 3 university hospitals in South Korea to conduct a simple and accurate assessment of ML-based risk prediction for the development of DR that can be universally applied to adults with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). Methods: DR was predicted using data from 2 independent electronic medical records: a discovery cohort (one hospital, n=14,694) and a validation cohort (2 hospitals, n=1856). The primary outcome was the presence of DR at 3 years. Different ML-based models were selected through hyperparameter tuning in the discovery cohort, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was analyzed in both cohorts. Results: Among 14,694 patients screened for inclusion, 348 (2.37%) were diagnosed with DR. For DR, the extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) system had an accuracy of 75.13% (95% CI 74.10-76.17), a sensitivity of 71.00% (95% CI 66.83-75.17), and a specificity of 75.23% (95% CI 74.16-76.31) in the original dataset. Among the validation datasets, XGBoost had an accuracy of 65.14%, a sensitivity of 64.96%, and a specificity of 65.15%. The most common feature in the XGBoost model is dyslipidemia, followed by cancer, hypertension, chronic kidney disease, neuropathy, and cardiovascular disease. Conclusions: This approach shows the potential to enhance patient outcomes by enabling timely interventions in patients with T2DM, improving our understanding of contributing factors, and reducing DR-related complications. The proposed prediction model is expected to be both competitive and cost-effective, particularly for primary care settings in South Korea.

Indexed as

AlgorithmsDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2Diabetic RetinopathyMachine LearningAdultAgedElectronic Health RecordsFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedRepublic of KoreaRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsROC Curvealgorithmcomorbiditiesdiabetes retinopathymachine learningophthalmologypredictionretinaltype 2 diabetes

Identifiers

PMID39924304
PMCPMC11830482

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.