Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39923009›Full record

ArticleBMC infectious diseases2025

Early COVID-19 and protection from Omicron in a highly vaccinated population in Ontario, Canada: a matched prospective cohort study.

Altynay Shigayeva, Christopher Kandel, Lubna Farooqi, Zoe Zhong, Anne-Claude Gingras, Brenda L Coleman, Lois Gilbert, Wayne L Gold, Maria Major, Tony Mazzulli and 8 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC infectious diseases, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

18 authors.

Altynay ShigayevaDepartment of Microbiology, Sinai Health, Toronto, Canada.
Christopher KandelMichael Garron Hospital, Toronto East Health Network, Toronto, Canada.
Lubna FarooqiDepartment of Microbiology, Sinai Health, Toronto, Canada.
Zoe ZhongDepartment of Microbiology, Sinai Health, Toronto, Canada.
Anne-Claude GingrasLunenfeld-Tanenbaum Research Institute, Sinai Health, Toronto, Canada.
Brenda L ColemanDepartment of Microbiology, Sinai Health, Toronto, Canada.
Lois GilbertDepartment of Microbiology, Sinai Health, Toronto, Canada.
Wayne L GoldDepartment of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada.
Maria MajorPfizer Canada, Kirkland, Canada.
Tony MazzulliDepartment of Microbiology, Sinai Health, Toronto, Canada.
Samira MubarekaDepartment of Laboratory Medicine and Pathobiology, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada.
Jelena VojicicPfizer Canada, Kirkland, Canada.
Jingyan YangPfizer Inc, New York, USA.
Pingping ZhangPfizer Inc, New York, USA.
Catherine MartinPfizer Inc, New York, USA.
Moe H KyawPfizer Inc, New York, USA.
John M McLaughlinPfizer Inc, New York, USA.
Allison McGeerDepartment of Microbiology, Sinai Health, Toronto, Canada. allison.mcgeer@sinaihealth.ca.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesPredictions regarding the on-going burden of SARS-CoV-2, and vaccine recommendations, require an understanding of infection-associated immune protection. We assessed whether early COVID-19 provided protection against Omicron infection.

methodsWe enrolled a cohort of adults in Ontario, Canada, with COVID-19 prior to October 2020 (early infection, EI), and a matched cohort with COVID-19 testing and a negative PCR (non-EI). Participants completed baseline surveys then surveys every two weeks until January 2023. Multivariable Cox regression was used to assess factors associated with COVID-19 infection during the first 14 months of Omicron.

resultsOverall, 624 EI (70%) and 175 (77%) non-EI participants met criteria for analysis; 590 (95%) EI and 164 (94%) non-EI had received at least 2 COVID-19 vaccine doses prior to Omicron. Of 624 EI, 175 (28%) had one SARS-CoV-2 re-infection and 8 (1.3%) had two, compared to 84 (48%) non-EI participants with one, 5 (2.9%) with two and 1 (0.6%) with 3 infections (P < 0.0001). In multivariable analysis of risk factors for Omicron infection, the overall hazard ratio (HR, 95%CI) associated with EI was 0.56 (0.43-0.74); HRs for BA.1/2, BA.4/5 and mixed BA.5/BQ.1/XBB periods were 0.66 (0.45-0.97), 0.44 (0.28-0.68) and 0.71 (0.32-1.56). EI and BA.1/2 infection combined reduced later Omicron infection (HR 0.07 (0.03-0.21) compared to no prior infection. Older age, non-White ethnicity, no children in household, and lower neighbourhood income were associated with reduced risk of infection.

conclusionsIn our highly vaccinated population, early SARS-CoV-2 infection was associated with a 44% reduction in symptomatic COVID-19 during the first 14 months of Omicron, providing significant protection against re-infection for more than 2 years.

Indexed as

COVID-19COVID-19 VaccinesSARS-CoV-2AdolescentAdultAgedFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedOntarioProspective StudiesVaccinationYoung AdultCOVID-19 VaccinesCOVID-19Re-infectionSARS-CoV-2 infectionVaccination

Identifiers

PMID39923009
PMCPMC11806543

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.