Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39920559›Full record

ArticlePharmacoEconomics2025

Towards Recommendations for Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Predictive, Prognostic, and Serial Biomarker Tests in Oncology.

Astrid Kramer, Lucas F van Schaik, Daan van den Broek, Gerrit A Meijer, Iñaki Gutierrez Ibarluzea, Lorea Galnares Cordero, Remond J A Fijneman, Marjolijn J L Ligtenberg, Ed Schuuring, Wim H van Harten and 3 more

Abstract readScoping Review
In one paragraph

Article in PharmacoEconomics, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Observational
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Astrid Kramer *Department of Epidemiology and Data Science, Amsterdam University Medical Centers, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2201-5794
Lucas F van Schaik *Division of Psychosocial Research and Epidemiology, The Netherlands Cancer Institute, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Daan van den BroekDepartment for Laboratory Medicine, The Netherlands Cancer Institute, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Gerrit A MeijerDepartment of Pathology, The Netherlands Cancer Institute, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Iñaki Gutierrez IbarluzeaBasque Office for Health Technology Assessment-Osteba, Bilbao, Spain.
Lorea Galnares CorderoBasque Office for Health Technology Assessment-Osteba, Bilbao, Spain.
Remond J A FijnemanDepartment of Pathology, The Netherlands Cancer Institute, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Marjolijn J L LigtenbergDepartment of Human Genetics, Radboudumc, Nijmegen, The Netherlands.
Ed SchuuringDepartment of Pathology and Medical Biology, University Medical Center Groningen, University of Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands.
Wim H van HartenDivision of Psychosocial Research and Epidemiology, The Netherlands Cancer Institute, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Veerle M H Coupé *Department of Epidemiology and Data Science, Amsterdam University Medical Centers, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Valesca P Retèl *Division of Psychosocial Research and Epidemiology, The Netherlands Cancer Institute, Amsterdam, The Netherlands. v.retel@nki.nl.
COIN Consortium

Funding

European Commission 101080009ZonMw 848101011
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCost-effectiveness analysis (CEA) of biomarkers is challenging due to the indirect impact on health outcomes and the lack of sufficient fit-for-purpose data. Hands-on guidance is lacking.

objectiveWe aimed firstly to explore how CEAs in the context of three different types of biomarker applications have addressed these challenges, and secondly to develop recommendations for future CEAs.

methodsA scoping review was performed for three biomarker applications: predictive, prognostic, and serial testing, in advanced non-small cell lung cancer, early-stage colorectal cancer, and all-stage colorectal cancer, respectively. Information was extracted on the model assumptions and uncertainty, and the reported outcomes. An in-depth analysis of the literature was performed describing the impact of model assumptions in the included studies.

resultsA total of 43 CEAs were included (31 predictive, 6 prognostic, and 6 serial testing). Of these, 40 utilized different sources for test and treatment parameters, and three studies utilized a single source. Test performance was included in 78% of these studies utilizing different sources, but this parameter was differently expressed across biomarker applications. Sensitivity analyses for test performance was only performed in half of these studies. For the linkage of test results to treatments outcomes, a minority of the studies explored the impact of suboptimal adherence to test results, and/or explored potential differences in treatment effects for different biomarker subgroups. Intermediate outcomes were reported by 67% of studies.

conclusionsWe identified various approaches for dealing with challenges in CEAs of biomarker tests for three different biomarker applications. Recommendations on assumptions, handling uncertainty, and reported outcomes were drafted to enhance modeling practices for future biomarker cost-effectiveness evaluations.

Indexed as

Biomarkers, TumorCarcinoma, Non-Small-Cell LungColorectal NeoplasmsCost-Benefit AnalysisLung NeoplasmsCost-Effectiveness AnalysisHumansModels, EconomicPredictive Value of TestsPrognosisBiomarkers, Tumor

Identifiers

PMID39920559
PMCPMC12011951

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.