Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39920106›Full record

ArticleNature communications2025

Biological age model using explainable automated CT-based cardiometabolic biomarkers for phenotypic prediction of longevity.

Perry J Pickhardt, Michael W Kattan, Matthew H Lee, B Dustin Pooler, Ayis Pyrros, Daniel Liu, Ryan Zea, Ronald M Summers, John W Garrett

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed.

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  9. Tumor-Derived Polyamines Initiate Fat Wasting in Cancer Cachexia.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Perry J PickhardtThe Department of Radiology, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine & Public Health, Madison, WI, USA. ppickhardt2@uwhealth.org.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5534-8202
Michael W KattanThe Department of Quantitative Health Sciences, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, OH, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3840-4161
Matthew H LeeThe Department of Radiology, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine & Public Health, Madison, WI, USA.
B Dustin PoolerThe Department of Radiology, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine & Public Health, Madison, WI, USA.
Ayis PyrrosDepartment of Radiology, Duly Health and Care, Downers Grove, IL, USA.
Daniel LiuThe Department of Radiology, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine & Public Health, Madison, WI, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2524-5368
Ryan ZeaThe Department of Radiology, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine & Public Health, Madison, WI, USA.
Ronald M SummersImaging Biomarkers and Computer-Aided Diagnosis Laboratory, Radiology and Imaging Sciences, National Institutes of Health Clinical Center, Bethesda, MD, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8081-7376
John W GarrettThe Department of Radiology, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine & Public Health, Madison, WI, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8152-736X

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We derive and test a CT-based biological age model for predicting longevity, using an automated pipeline of explainable AI algorithms that quantifies skeletal muscle, abdominal fat, aortic calcification, bone density, and solid abdominal organs. We apply these AI tools to abdominal CT scans from 123,281 adults (mean age, 53.6 years; 47% women; median follow-up, 5.3 years). The final weighted CT biomarker selection was based on the index of prediction accuracy. The CT model significantly outperforms standard demographic data for predicting longevity (IPA = 29.2 vs. 21.7; 10-year AUC = 0.880 vs. 0.779; p < 0.001). Age- and sex-corrected survival hazard ratio for the highest-vs-lowest risk quartile was 8.73 (95% CI,8.14-9.36) for the CT biological age model, and increased to 24.79 after excluding cancer diagnoses within 5 years of CT. Muscle density, aortic plaque burden, visceral fat density, and bone density contributed the most. Here we show a personalized phenotypic CT biological age model that can be opportunistically-derived, regardless of clinical indication, to better inform risk assessment.

Indexed as

AgingLongevityModels, BiologicalTomography, X-Ray ComputedAbdominal FatAdultAgedAlgorithmsBiomarkersBone DensityFemaleHumansIntra-Abdominal FatMaleMiddle AgedMuscle, SkeletalBiomarkers

Identifiers

PMID39920106
PMCPMC11806064

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.