Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39917087›Full record

ArticleJournal of policy analysis and management : [the journal of the Association for Public Policy Analysis and Management]2020

CRIMINAL DETERRENCE: EVIDENCE FROM AN INDIVIDUAL-LEVEL ANALYSIS OF 24/7 SOBRIETY.

Beau Kilmer, Greg Midgette

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of policy analysis and management : [the journal of the Association for Public Policy Analysis and Management], 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Beau KilmerDirector of the RAND Drug Policy Research Center, 1776 Main Street, Santa Monica, CA 90407-2138.
Greg MidgetteDepartment of Criminology and Criminal Justice at the University of Maryland, 2220 Samuel J. LeFrak Hall, 7251 Preinkert Drive, College Park, MD 20742.

Funding

Evaluating South Dakota's 24/7 Sobriety ProgramR01AA020074 · NIAAA · RAND CORPORATION · PI KILMER, BEAU GRIFFIN · 2011 to 2013
$1.0M
Public Health Consequences of the 24/7 Sobriety Program: A Focus on MortalityR01AA024296 · NIAAA · RAND CORPORATION · PI NICOSIA, NANCY · 2016 to 2017
$788k
NIAAA NIH HHS R01 AA020074NIAAA NIH HHS R01 AA024296
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Decisionmakers continue to search for new ways to deter criminal behavior that do not rely on increasing the severity of punishment. This paper evaluates South Dakota's 24/7 Sobriety Program-a novel, large-scale intervention requiring those arrested for or convicted of an alcohol-related offense to abstain from alcohol and submit to alcohol tests multiple times daily. Those testing positive or missing a test receive a swift,certain, and moderate sanction; typically, a night or two in jail. To estimate the causal effect of the 24/7 program on the probability of rearrest or probation revocation for those arrested for a second or third driving under the influence (DUI) offense, we instrument an individual's 24/7 participation with program availability in the county of arrest. We estimate that the individual-level probability of rearrest or probation revocation is 13.7 percentage points (49 percent; p = 0.002) lower for 24/7 participants than non-participants 12 months after their DUI arrest. We detect substantive decreases at 24 and 36 months, but the precision of those estimates depends on model specification. These findings provide empricial support for applying "swift-certain-fair" sanctions to deter noncompliance in community supervision settings. This paper also provides policymakers with evidence for a new approach to reduce criminal activity among those whose alcohol use leads them to repeatedly threaten public health and safety.

Identifiers

PMID39917087
PMCPMC11800353

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.