Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39915898›Full record

ArticleStatistics in medicine2025

A General Framework to Assess Complex Heterogeneity in the Strength of a Surrogate Marker.

Rebecca Knowlton, Lu Tian, Layla Parast

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Statistics in medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Efficient Testing Using Surrogate Information.Biometrical journal. Biometrische Zeitschrift · 2025
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Rebecca KnowltonDepartment of Statistics and Data Sciences, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, Texas, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-2806-2185
Lu TianDepartment of Biomedical Data Science, Stanford University, Stanford, California, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-5893-0169
Layla ParastDepartment of Statistics and Data Sciences, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, Texas, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-7288-1009

Funding

Robust Statistical Methods to Identify and Use Surrogate Markers in DiabetesR01DK118354 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS AT AUSTIN · PI PARAST, LAYLA · 2018 to 2025
$2.0M
NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK118354NIDDK NIH HHS R01DK118354
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

A surrogate marker is a biological measurement in a clinical trial that aims to replace the primary outcome in evaluating the treatment effect, and can be measured earlier, with less cost, or with less patient burden. In theory, once a surrogate is validated, future studies can evaluate treatment efficacy using only the surrogate. While there are many methods to evaluate a surrogate, these methods rarely account for heterogeneity in surrogacy, that is, when a surrogate is valid for only certain people. We propose a general framework for the assessment of complex heterogeneity in the strength of a surrogate marker, as well as corresponding parametric and semiparametric estimation procedures. Our framework defines the proportion of the treatment effect on the primary outcome that is explained by the treatment effect on the surrogate, as a function of multiple baseline covariates,

Indexed as

BiomarkersClinical Trials as TopicComputer SimulationHIV InfectionsHumansModels, StatisticalTreatment OutcomeBiomarkersclinical trialnonparametric methodssubgroup identificationsurrogate markerstreatment effect

Identifiers

PMID39915898
PMCPMC11835199

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.