Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39910782›Full record

SynthesisZoonoses and public health2025

Understanding the Effect of a Changing Climate on the Re-Emergence of Mosquito-Borne Diseases in Vulnerable Small Island Nations: A Systematic Review.

Mohabeer Teeluck, Oyelola Adegboye, Stephan Karl, Diana P Iyaloo, Emma McBryde

Abstract readSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Zoonoses and public health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. No time to wait: A regional model for inter-epidemic vector-borne disease preparedness in the Caribbean.Revista panamericana de salud publica = Pan American journal of public health · 2026
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Mohabeer TeeluckCollege of Medicine and Dentistry, James Cook University, Townsville, Queensland, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-5985-3441
Oyelola AdegboyeMenzies School of Health Research, Charles Darwin University, Darwin, Northern Territory, Australia.
Stephan KarlPublic Health and Tropical Medicine, College of Public Health & Tropical Medicine, James Cook University, Townsville, Queensland, Australia.
Diana P IyalooVector Biology and Control Division, Ministry of Health and Wellness, Curepipe, Mauritius.
Emma McBrydeCollege of Medicine and Dentistry, James Cook University, Townsville, Queensland, Australia.

Funding

Australian Government Research Training Program (RTP) ScholarshipCollege of Medicine and Dentistry, James Cook University
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionDrastic changes in meteorological variables due to climate change will likely have an implication on the proliferation of vectors such as mosquitoes. Extreme weather events may therefore promote the emergence/re-emergence of mosquito-borne diseases (MBDs) and potentiate the risk of endemicity, particularly, in small island nations.

methodA systematic review was chosen to methodically ascertain the knowledge gaps that exist in determining the influence of the changing climate on MBDs in small islands with vulnerable public health systems. This review was conducted using the PRISMA guidelines.

resultsFollowing extraction of 600 articles from the databases, 16 studies were determined to meet the selection criteria. The majority of these research papers were from Sri Lanka (n = 9) while the remaining articles were distributed between islands in the Pacific and Atlantic Ocean. Several of these studies used regression modelling techniques to discuss the effect of multiple meteorological variables on the incidence of MBDs. A positive relationship was observed between temperature and the relative risk of MBDs in 72% of the papers. Rainfall enhanced dengue transmission in 84% of the studies included. All the articles discussing the effect of humidity illustrated a similar trend while wind speed was the only climatic variable demonstrating a negative relationship with MBDs. DISCUSSION: Considering the intricate nature of the non-linear exposure-response link is crucial when estimating the lagged effect of the changing climate on MBDs transmission. Other challenges associated with bias and confounders in the selected studies as well as meteorological data accessibility, were highlighted. Therefore, it was not possible to conclusively establish that the changing climatic variables do influence the spread of MBDs which accentuated the need for conducting further studies to illustrate the effect of changing weather variables on the incidence of MBDs, with an emphasis on vulnerable small island nations.

Indexed as

Climate ChangeCommunicable Diseases, EmergingCulicidaeMosquito VectorsVector Borne DiseasesAnimalsHumansIslandsMosquito-Borne Diseasesclimate changemosquito‐borne diseasessmall islandssystematic reviewvector‐borne

Identifiers

PMID39910782
PMCPMC11967312

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.