Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39906542›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in applied mathematics and statistics2024

Opening Pandora's box: caveats with using toolbox-based approaches in mathematical modeling in biology.

Vitaly V Ganusov

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in applied mathematics and statistics, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

1 author.

Vitaly V GanusovHost-Pathogen Interactions program, Texas Biomedical Research Institute, San Antonio, TX, USA.

Funding

Mathematical modeling of Mycobacterium tuberculosis disseminationR01AI158963 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF TENNESSEE KNOXVILLE · PI Vitaly V. Ganusov · 2022 to 2026
$3.2M
NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI158963
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Mathematical modeling is a powerful method to understand how biological systems work. By creating a mathematical model of a given phenomenon one can investigate which model assumptions are needed to explain the phenomenon and which assumptions can be omitted. Creating an appropriate mathematical model (or a set of models) for a given biological system is an art, and classical textbooks on mathematical modeling in biology go into great detail in discussing how mathematical models can be understood via analytical and numerical analyses. In the last few decades mathematical modeling in biology has grown in size and complexity, and along with this growth new tools for the analysis of mathematical models and/or comparing models to data have been proposed. Examples of tools include methods of sensitivity analyses, methods for comparing alternative models to data (based on AIC/BIC/etc.), and mixed-effect-based fitting of models to data. I argue that the use of many of these "toolbox" approaches for the analysis of mathematical models has negatively impacted the basic philosophical principle of the modeling - to understand what the model does and why it does what it does. I provide several examples of limitations of these toolbox-based approaches and how they hamper generation of insights about the system in question. I also argue that while we should learn new ways to automate mathematical modeling-based analyses of biological phenomena, we should aim beyond a mechanical use of such methods and bring back intuitive insights into model functioning, by remembering that after all, modeling is an art and not simply engineering. "Getting something for nothing is impossible; there is always a price to pay." Louis Gross. "There is not such a thing as a free lunch."

Identifiers

PMID39906542
PMCPMC11793200

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.