Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39905838›Full record

ArticleClinical and molecular hepatology2025

Fibrosis-4plus score: a novel machine learning-based tool for screening high-risk varices in compensated cirrhosis (CHESS2004): an international multicenter study.

Bingtian Dong, Ruiling He, Shenghong Ju, Yuping Chen, Ivica Grgurevic, Jianzhong Ma, Ying Guo, Huizhen Fan, Qiang Yan, Chuan Liu and 52 more

Registry-linked trialAbstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical and molecular hepatology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT04546360 (Spleen Stiffness Combined With Liver Stiffness Measured by Two-dimensional Shear Wave Elastography for the Screening of High-risk Varices in Patients With Compensated Advanced Chronic Liver Disease), which is not on this map. Cited by 6 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT04546360 completednot on this map

Spleen Stiffness Combined With Liver Stiffness Measured by Two-dimensional Shear Wave Elastography for the Screening of High-risk Varices in Patients With Compensated Advanced Chronic Liver Disease (CHESS2004)

Typeobservational_patient_registrySponsorHepatopancreatobiliary Surgery Institute of Gansu ProvinceRan2020 to 2022Enrolled381ConditionsCompensated Advanced Chronic Liver Disease, Variceal HemorrhageArmsEsophagogasrtoduodendoscopy, spleen stiffness measurement and liver stiffness measurement.
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. [Non-invasive evaluation and prediction of portal hypertension: focusing on disease progression and outcome].Zhonghua gan zang bing za zhi = Zhonghua ganzangbing zazhi = Chinese journal of hepatology · 2025
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

62 authors.

Bingtian DongLiver Disease Center of Integrated Traditional Chinese and Western Medicine, Department of Radiology, Zhongda Hospital, Medical School, Southeast University, Nurturing Center of Jiangsu Province for State Laboratory of AI Imaging & Interventional Radiology (Southeast University), Basic Medicine Research and Innovation Center of Ministry of Education, Zhongda Hospital, Southeast University, State Key Laboratory of Digital Medical Engineering, Nanjing, China.
Ruiling HeDepartment of Ultrasound, Donggang Branch the First Hospital of Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China.
Shenghong JuNurturing Center of Jiangsu Province for State Laboratory of AI Imaging & Interventional Radiology, Department of Radiology, Zhongda Hospital, Medical School, Southeast University, Nanjing, China.
Yuping ChenLiver Disease Center of Integrated Traditional Chinese and Western Medicine, Department of Radiology, Zhongda Hospital, Medical School, Southeast University, Nurturing Center of Jiangsu Province for State Laboratory of AI Imaging & Interventional Radiology (Southeast University), Basic Medicine Research and Innovation Center of Ministry of Education, Zhongda Hospital, Southeast University, State Key Laboratory of Digital Medical Engineering, Nanjing, China.
Ivica GrgurevicDepartment of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Clinical Nutrition, University Hospital Dubrava, University of Zagreb School of Medicine and Faculty of Pharmacy and Biochemistry, Zagreb, Croatia.
Jianzhong MaDepartment of General Surgery, The Third People's Hospital of Taiyuan, Taiyuan, China.
Ying GuoDepartment of Hepatology, The Third People's Hospital of Taiyuan, Taiyuan, China.
Huizhen FanDepartment of Gastroenterology, Yichun People's Hospital, Yichun, China.
Qiang YanDivision of HPB Section Department of General Surgery, Huzhou Central Hospital, The Affiliated Central Hospital of Huzhou University, Huzhou, China.
Chuan LiuLiver Disease Center of Integrated Traditional Chinese and Western Medicine, Department of Radiology, Zhongda Hospital, Medical School, Southeast University, Nurturing Center of Jiangsu Province for State Laboratory of AI Imaging & Interventional Radiology (Southeast University), Basic Medicine Research and Innovation Center of Ministry of Education, Zhongda Hospital, Southeast University, State Key Laboratory of Digital Medical Engineering, Nanjing, China.
Huixiong XuDepartment of Ultrasound, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Anita MadirDepartment of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Clinical Nutrition, University Hospital Dubrava, Zagreb, Croatia.
Kristian PodrugDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University Hospital Center Split, Split, Croatia.
Jia WangDepartment of Ultrasound, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Linxue QianDepartment of Ultrasound, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Zhengzi GengDepartment of Ultrasound, The People's Hospital of Linxia, Linxia, China.
Shanghao LiuLiver Disease Center of Integrated Traditional Chinese and Western Medicine, Department of Radiology, Zhongda Hospital, Medical School, Southeast University, Nurturing Center of Jiangsu Province for State Laboratory of AI Imaging & Interventional Radiology (Southeast University), Basic Medicine Research and Innovation Center of Ministry of Education, Zhongda Hospital, Southeast University, State Key Laboratory of Digital Medical Engineering, Nanjing, China.
Tao RenDepartment of Gastroenterology, Hospital of Chengdu Office of People's Government of Tibetan Autonomous Region, Sichuan, China.
Guo ZhangDepartment of Gastroenterology, Guangxi Hospital Division of the First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Taiyuan, China.
Kun WangDepartment of Hepatology, The Third People's Hospital of Taiyuan, Taiyuan, China.
Meiqin SuDepartment of Ultrasound, The Third People's Hospital of Taiyuan, Taiyuan, China.
Fei ChenDepartment of Ultrasound, The First Hospital of Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China.
Sumei MaDepartment of Ultrasound, The First Hospital of Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China.
Liting ZhangDepartment of Infectious Diseases, The First Hospital of Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China.
Zhaowei TongHuzhou Key Laboratory of Precision Medicine Research and Translation for Infectious Diseases, Huzhou Central Hospital, Huzhou, China.
Yonghe ZhouDepartment of Ultrasonography, Tianjin Second People's Hospital, Tianjin, China.
Xin LiDepartment of Ultrasonography, Tianjin Second People's Hospital, Tianjin, China.
Fanbin HeDepartment of Ultrasound, The People's Hospital of Linxia, Linxia, China.
Hui HuanDepartment of Gastroenterology, Hospital of Chengdu Office of People's Government of Tibetan Autonomous Region, Sichuan, China.
Wenjuan WangDepartment of Gastroenterology, Guangxi Hospital Division of the First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Taiyuan, China.
Yunxiao LiangDepartment of Gastroenterology, Guangxi Hospital Division of the First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Taiyuan, China.
Juan TangDepartment of Infectious Disease, Zigong First People's Hospital, Zigong, China.
Fang AiDepartment of Ultrasound, Zigong First People's Hospital, Zigong, China.
Tingyu WangDepartment of Gastroscopy, Zigong First People's Hospital, Zigong, China.
Liyun ZhengDepartment of Radiology, Zhejiang Key Laboratory of Imaging and Interventional Medicine, Lishui Central Hospital, Li Shui, China.
Zhongwei ZhaoDepartment of Radiology, Zhejiang Key Laboratory of Imaging and Interventional Medicine, Lishui Central Hospital, Li Shui, China.
Jiansong JiDepartment of Radiology, Zhejiang Key Laboratory of Imaging and Interventional Medicine, Lishui Central Hospital, Li Shui, China.
Wei LiuUltrasound Diagnosis Center, Shaanxi Provincial People's Hospital, Xi'an, China.
Jiaojiao XuUltrasound Diagnosis Center, Shaanxi Provincial People's Hospital, Xi'an, China.
Bo LiuUltrasound Diagnosis Center, Shaanxi Provincial People's Hospital, Xi'an, China.
Xuemei WangDepartment of Ultrasound, Ditan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Yao ZhangDepartment of Ultrasound, Ditan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Qiong YanDepartment of Gastroenterology, The Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, China.
Hui LiuDepartment of Ultrasound, The Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, China.
Xiaomei ChenDepartment of Ultrasound, The Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, China.
Shuhua ZhangDepartment of Ultrasound, North China University of Science and Technology Affiliated Hospital, Tangshan, China.
Yihua WangDepartment of Ultrasound, North China University of Science and Technology Affiliated Hospital, Tangshan, China.
Yang LiuDepartment of Ultrasound, North China University of Science and Technology Affiliated Hospital, Tangshan, China.
Li YinDepartment of Ultrasound, Jincheng People's Hospital, Jincheng, China.
Yanni LiuDepartment of Ultrasound, Jincheng People's Hospital, Jincheng, China.
Yanqing HuangDepartment of Ultrasound, Jincheng People's Hospital, Jincheng, China.
Li BianDepartment of Hepatology, The Sixth People's Hospital of Shenyang, Shenyang, China.
Ping AnDepartment of Hepatology, The Sixth People's Hospital of Shenyang, Shenyang, China.
Xin ZhangDepartment of Hepatology, The Sixth People's Hospital of Shenyang, Shenyang, China.
Shaoting ZhangSensetime Research, Shanghai, China.
Jinhua ShaoWuxi Hisky Medical Technologies Co., Ltd., Wuxi, China.
Xiangman ZhangDepartment of Medical and Marketing, Suzhou Hengrui Medical Devices Co., Ltd., Suzhou, China.
Wei RaoShenzhen New Industries Biomedical Engineering Co., Ltd., Shenzhen, China.
Chaoxue ZhangDepartment of Ultrasound, The First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei, China.
Christoph Frank DietrichDepartment General Internal Medicine (DAIM), Hospitals Hirslanden Bern Beau Site, Salem and Permanence, Bern, Switzerland.
Won KimDepartment of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul Metropolitan Government Boramae Medical Center, Seoul, Korea.
Xiaolong QiLiver Disease Center of Integrated Traditional Chinese and Western Medicine, Department of Radiology, Zhongda Hospital, Medical School, Southeast University, Nurturing Center of Jiangsu Province for State Laboratory of AI Imaging & Interventional Radiology (Southeast University), Basic Medicine Research and Innovation Center of Ministry of Education, Zhongda Hospital, Southeast University, State Key Laboratory of Digital Medical Engineering, Nanjing, China.

Funding

China Postdoctoral Science Foundation 2024M750461Health Research Program of Anhui AHWJ2023A30169Key Research and Development Program of Jiangsu Province BE2023767aNational Natural Science Foundation of China 82402413National Natural Science Foundation of China 92359304Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province BK20241681Southeast University 3290002303A2Zhongda Hospital 2023YJXYYRCPY03Zhongda Hospital CZXM-GSP-RC119Zhongda Hospital CZXM-GSP-RC125
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND/

aimsA large percentage of patients undergoing esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD) screening do not have esophageal varices (EV) or have only small EV. We evaluated a large, international, multicenter cohort to develop a novel score, termed FIB-4plus, by combining the fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) score, liver stiffness measurement (LSM), and spleen stiffness measurement (SSM) to identify high-risk EV (HRV) in compensated cirrhosis.

methodsThis international cohort study involved patients with compensated cirrhosis from 17 Chinese hospitals and one Croatian institution (NCT04546360). Two-dimensional shear wave elastography-derived LSM and SSM values, and components of the FIB-4 score (i.e., age, aspartate aminotransferase, alanine aminotransferase, and platelet count [PLT]) were combined using machine learning algorithms (logistic regression [LR] and extreme gradient boosting [XGBoost]) to develop the LR-FIB-4plus and XGBoost-FIB-4plus models, respectively. Shapley Additive exPlanations method was used to interpret the model predictions.

resultsWe analyzed data from 502 patients with compensated cirrhosis who underwent EGD screening. The XGBoost-FIB-4plus score demonstrated superior predictive performance for HRV, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.927 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.897-0.957) in the training cohort (n=268), and 0.919 (95% CI 0.843-0.995) and 0.902 (95% CI 0.820-0.984) in the first (n=118) and second (n=82) external validation cohorts, respectively. Additionally, the XGBoost-FIB-4plus score exhibited high AUROC values for predicting EV across all cohorts. The FIB-4plus score outperformed the individual parameters (LSM, SSM, PLT, and FIB-4).

conclusionThe FIB-4plus score effectively predicted EV and HRV in patients with compensated cirrhosis, providing clinicians with a valuable tool for optimizing patient management and outcomes.

Indexed as

Esophageal and Gastric VaricesLiver CirrhosisMachine LearningAdultAgedAlanine TransaminaseArea Under CurveAspartate AminotransferasesElasticity Imaging TechniquesEndoscopy, Digestive SystemFemaleHumansLiverLogistic ModelsMaleMiddle AgedAlanine TransaminaseAspartate AminotransferasesDiagnostic modelElasticity imaging techniquesEsophageal and gastric varicesMachine learning

Identifiers

PMID39905838
PMCPMC12260638

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.