Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39905570›Full record

ArticleArchives of public health = Archives belges de sante publique2025

Role of cognitive impairment in predicting the long-term risk of all-cause mortality: a 20-year prospective cohort study in China.

Shuang Zhao, Han Yang, Haijuan Zhao, Miao Miao, Qingqing Wang, Yaru Wang, Yuying Yin, Xin Wang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Archives of public health = Archives belges de sante publique, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Shuang ZhaoClinical Trial Research Center, Beijing Hospital, National Center of Gerontology, Institute of Geriatric Medicine, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, 100730, P.R. China.
Han YangClinical Trial Research Center, Beijing Hospital, National Center of Gerontology, Institute of Geriatric Medicine, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, 100730, P.R. China.
Haijuan ZhaoClinical Trial Research Center, Beijing Hospital, National Center of Gerontology, Institute of Geriatric Medicine, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, 100730, P.R. China.
Miao MiaoClinical Trial Research Center, Beijing Hospital, National Center of Gerontology, Institute of Geriatric Medicine, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, 100730, P.R. China.
Qingqing WangClinical Trial Research Center, Beijing Hospital, National Center of Gerontology, Institute of Geriatric Medicine, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, 100730, P.R. China.
Yaru WangClinical Trial Research Center, Beijing Hospital, National Center of Gerontology, Institute of Geriatric Medicine, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, 100730, P.R. China.
Yuying YinClinical Trial Research Center, Beijing Hospital, National Center of Gerontology, Institute of Geriatric Medicine, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, 100730, P.R. China.
Xin WangClinical Trial Research Center, Beijing Hospital, National Center of Gerontology, Institute of Geriatric Medicine, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, 100730, P.R. China. wangxinannie@126.com.

Funding

National High Level Hospital Clinical Research Funding BJ-2023-208the capital health research and development of special project 2022-2Z-4055
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThere is limited evidence of the relationship between cognitive changes and all-cause mortality. And it has no report of population-attributable fraction (PAF) of mortality due to cognitive impairment in Chinese elderly. In light of this, we comprehensively examined the relationship between cognitive impairment and all-cause mortality after 20-year follow-up among the elderly Chinese.

methodsThis is an epidemiological survey with a 20-year prospective cohort study design. A total of 9093 participants came from the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey 1998-2018 waves. Cox proportional hazards regressions were performed to analyze the relationship between baseline cognitive impairment status, the rate of change in the MMSE scores over two years and subsequent all-cause mortality.

resultsWe observed a dose-response relationship between cognition and mortality. Compared to those with no impairment, elderly with mild (AHR = 1.11, 95% CI 1.05-1.18), moderate (AHR = 1.22, 95% CI 1.13-1.33) and severe (AHR = 1.30, 95% CI 1.19-1.42) cognitive impairment showed increased mortality risk. Elderly with rapid cognitive decline had 24% higher mortality risk than those with stable cognitive (AHR = 1.24, 95%CI 1.10-1.39). The PAF of mortality due to severe cognitive impairment was 3.69% (95%CI:2.36-5.25%). Impairment in the subdomain of naming foods (AHR = 1.12, 95% CI 1.04-1.21), registration (AHR = 1.18, 95% CI 1.11-1.26), attention and calculation (AHR = 1.13, 95% CI 1.07-1.21), copy figure (AHR = 1.13, 95% CI 1.06-1.20), delayed recall (AHR = 1.14, 95% CI 1.07-1.20) and language (AHR = 1.14, 95% CI 1.05-1.24) were independently associated with increased mortality risk among participants.

conclusionBaseline cognitive impairment was inversely associated with longevity among the elderly Chinese. The rapid cognitive decline increased all-cause mortality, and this risk would continue for 20 years. These findings underscore the crucial role of early detection and management of cognitive impairment in the elderly.

Indexed as

All-cause mortalityCognitive impairmentElderly ChineseMini-Mental State Examination (MMSE)

Identifiers

PMID39905570
PMCPMC11796120

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.