Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39903377›Full record

ArticleAmbio2025

Climate, peace, and conflict-past and present: Bridging insights from historical sciences and contemporary research.

Sam White, Dominik Collet, Agustí Alcoberro, Mariano Barriendos, Rudolf Brázdil, Pau Castell, Siyu Chen, Cedric de Coning, Dagomar Degroot, Lukáš Dolák and 14 more

Abstract readHistorical Article
PubMed Full text at PMC Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Ambio, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

24 authors.

Sam WhiteDepartment of Political History, Faculty of Social Sciences, University of Helsinki, Snellmaninkatu 14 A, PO Box 54, 00014, Helsinki, Finland. samuel.white@helsinki.fi.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1046-3944
Dominik ColletInstitute for Archaeology, Conservation and History, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8970-970X
Agustí AlcoberroUniversity of Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4240-9296
Mariano BarriendosInstitut de Diagnòstic Ambiental i Estudis de l'Aigua (IDAEA, CSIC), Barcelona, Spain.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9220-1245
Rudolf BrázdilGlobal Change Research Institute, Czech Academy of Sciences, Brno, Czechia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4826-2299
Pau CastellUniversity of Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.
Siyu ChenUniversity of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.
Cedric de ConingNorwegian Institute of International Affairs (NUPI), Postboks 7024, St. Olavs Plass, Oslo, 0130, Norway.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4567-8838
Dagomar DegrootEnvironmental History, Georgetown University, Washington, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3769-3990
Lukáš DolákDepartment of Geography, Masaryk University, Brno, Czechia.
Stefan DöringDepartment of Peace and Conflict Research, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6949-7084
Santiago GorostizaInstitut d'Història de la Ciència, The Autonomous University of Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8516-5642
Katrin KleemannGerman Maritime Museum / Leibniz Institute for Maritime History, Bremerhaven, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9719-3413
Florian KrampeSIPRI's Climate Change and Risk Programme, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2208-794X
Kuan-Hui LinGraduate Institute for Sustainability Management and Environmental Education, National Taiwan Normal University, Taipei, Taiwan.
Nicolas MaughanCNRS, Aix-Marseille University, Marseille, France.
Natália MeloInsitute of Contemporary History, University of Évora, Évora, Portugal.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7466-4772
Barry MolloySchool of Archaeology, UCD, University College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2493-8859
Astrid E J OgilvieResearch group The Nordic Little Ice Age, Center for Advanced Studies Oslo, Oslo, Norway.
Piling PaiResearch Center for Humanities and Social Sciences, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan.
Qing PeiHong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9699-2950
Christian PfisterUniversity of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.
Silviya SerafimovaInstitute of Philosophy and Sociology (BAS), Sofia, Bulgaria.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2996-5319
Diyang ZhangInstitute of Environmental Social Science and Geography, Faculty of Environment and Natural Resources, University of Freiburg, Freiburg i. Br., Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3782-3871

Funding

Ministerstvo Školství, Mládeže a Tělovýchovy CZ.02.01.01/00/22_008/0004593Norwegian Research Council 315441
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Concern has risen that current global warming and more frequent extreme events such as droughts and floods will increase conflict around the world. This concern has spurred both social science research on contemporary climate, peace, and conflict as well as research in the historical sciences on past climate, weather, warfare, and violence. This perspectives article compares these two fields of scholarship and examines how each may benefit the other. It finds significant convergences in methods and insights across contemporary and historical research as well as persistent patterns in causal pathways between climate and conflict. Contemporary climate, peace, and conflict (CPC) research may sharpen methods and causal models for historical researchers. Historical studies, particularly those informed by contemporary research, may elucidate deep origins and long-term effects of climate-related conflicts. For policymakers and the public, history offers comprehensible ways to make sense of complex and contingent linkages and to construct cogent narratives of the past as well as storylines for the future.

Indexed as

ClimateClimate ChangeWarfareHistory, 20th CenturyHistory, 21st CenturyHumansArchaeologyClimate changeConflictHistoryPeaceScience communication

Identifiers

PMID39903377
PMCPMC11965034

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.