Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39901321›Full record

Observational studyDrug and alcohol review2025

Changes in population-level alcohol sales after non-medical cannabis legalisation in Canada.

Michael J Armstrong, Rachael MacDonald-Spracklin, Jennifer Xiao, Robert Talarico, Daniel T Myran

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Drug and alcohol review, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Observational
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Michael J ArmstrongGoodman School of Business, Brock University, St. Catharines, Canada.
Rachael MacDonald-SpracklinBruyère Health Research Institute, Ottawa, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-2016-3232
Jennifer XiaoClinical Epidemiology Program, Ottawa Hospital Research Institute, Ottawa, Canada.
Robert TalaricoClinical Epidemiology Program, Ottawa Hospital Research Institute, Ottawa, Canada.
Daniel T MyranBruyère Health Research Institute, Ottawa, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-8038-300X

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionThere is considerable interest in whether individuals substitute cannabis for alcohol and in legalisation's potential to reduce or increase alcohol-attributable harms. This study aimed to determine whether non-medical cannabis legalisation in Canada was associated with initial changes in population-level alcohol consumption.

methodsThis observational population-based study described changes in alcohol sales in Canada between 2004 and 2022. We calculated annual changes in the per capita volume of pure ethanol sold in Canada. We used an interrupted time series approach to examine immediate and gradual changes in per capita price-adjusted alcohol retailer sales value (CAD$) and beer producer sales volume (litres of product) after legalisation.

resultsDuring 2004-2022, Canadians aged 15+ spent on average CAD $751 per year on alcoholic beverages containing 8.18 L of ethanol. Annual ethanol sales volumes decreased by 0.06 (95% confidence interval [CI] -0.08 to -0.04; p = 0.001) litres per capita annually for beer but increased by 0.05 (95% CI 0.04 to 0.07; p = 0.001) litres per capita annually for other beverages, leaving no significant trend for ethanol sales overall. Following non-medical legalisation in October 2018, there were no immediate (-0.1%, 95% CI -1.3 to 1.1; p = 0.82) or gradual changes (-0.1% monthly, 95% CI -0.3 to 0.0; p = 0.12) in alcohol retailer sales. DISCUSSION AND

conclusionCanada's non-medical cannabis legalisation was not associated with significant changes in population-level alcohol sales. These findings do not support the idea that cannabis legalisation may result in declining alcohol use and harms through the substitution of cannabis for alcohol.

Indexed as

Alcohol DrinkingAlcoholic BeveragesCommerceLegislation, DrugAdolescentAdultBeerCanadaCannabisFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedYoung Adultalcoholcannabis legalisationinterrupted times series analysispublic health policysubstitution

Identifiers

PMID39901321
PMCPMC11886499

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.