ArticleBMC infectious diseases2025
Changing trends in human brucellosis in pastoral and agricultural China, 2004-2019: a Joinpoint regression analysis.
Article in BMC infectious diseases, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.
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6 citing papers in PubMed.
- Spatiotemporal dynamics, clustering, and ARIMA-based short-term prediction of human brucellosis in Xinjiang, China.BMC infectious diseases · 2026Article
- Spatiotemporal dynamics and environmental factors of human brucellosis in mainland China, 2004-2022.BMC infectious diseases · 2026Article
- Epidemiological characteristics and spatiotemporal trend analysis of human brucellosis in Shanxi Province, China, 2014-2024.BMC public health · 2026Article
- Socioeconomic drivers of human Brucellosis in Ningxia, China: A one health and spatiotemporal analysis for targeted intervention.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2026Article
- Spatiotemporal distribution characteristics and disease burden of human brucellosis in Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region, 2014-2023.Frontiers in public health · 2026Article
- Limited genomic diversity and convergent adaptation ofFrontiers in microbiology · 2025Article
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Abstract
backgroundThe incidence of human brucellosis has risen sharply in China but little is known about trends in pastoral and agricultural areas respectively. This study aimed to analyze the annual and monthly incidence trends of human brucellosis in China from 2004 to 2019. It sought to identify factors contributing to higher incidence rates at specific times and to compare incidence trends across pastoral, agricultural/pastoral, and agricultural areas.
methodsAnnual and monthly incidence and numbers of reported cases of human brucellosis in regional China between 2004 and 2019 were accessed from the National Public Health Science Data Sharing Center, and the annual percentage change (APC) in pastoral and agricultural areas was calculated. Annual and monthly trends were analyzed by the Joinpoint regression model.
results569016 cases of human brucellosis were reported between 2004 and 2019 with a peak in 2014. A trend of increasing incidence was found (AAPC = 6.3%, 95% CI: 3.2-9.4%) with higher rates in pastoral areas but greater mean increases in agricultural (AAPC = 9.4) and agricultural/pastoral areas (AAPC = 7.7) than in pastoral areas (AAPC = 5.9). Infections occurred throughout the year with a concentration of cases between March and July. Increasing monthly incidence was found in all types of areas from January to May (APC > 0) and a decreasing monthly trend was seen from May to December (APC < 0, p < 0.05).
conclusionsThe incidence of human brucellosis was higher in pastoral areas of China than in agricultural/pastoral or agricultural areas, however, the rate of increase was higher in agricultural/pastoral and agricultural areas than in pastoral areas. Epidemic surveillance should be strengthened in key areas and prevention and control measures increased nationwide.
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