Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39899717›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2025

The estimated cost of preventing extinction and progressing recovery for Australia's priority threatened species.

Michelle Ward, Hugh P Possingham, Brendan A Wintle, John C Z Woinarski, Jessica R Marsh, David G Chapple, Mark Lintermans, Ben C Scheele, Nick S Whiterod, Conrad J Hoskin and 5 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors.

Michelle WardSchool of Environment and Sciences, Griffith Sciences, Centre for Planetary Health and Food Security, Griffith University, Nathan, QLD 4111, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-0658-855X
Hugh P PossinghamFaculty of Science, School of the Environment, The University of Queensland, St Lucia, QLD 4072, Australia.
Brendan A WintleFaculty of Science, Melbourne Biodiversity Institute, School of Agriculture, Food and Ecosystem Science, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC 3010, Australia.
John C Z WoinarskiFaculty of Science and Technology, Research Institute for the Environment and Livelihoods, Charles Darwin University, Casuarina, NT 0909, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-1712-9500
Jessica R MarshFaculty of Sciences, Engineering, and Technology, School of Biological Sciences, University of Adelaide, Adelaide, SA 5005, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-4062-4155
David G ChappleFaculty of Science, School of Biological Sciences, Monash University, Clayton, VIC 3800, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-7720-6280
Mark LintermansFaculty of Science and Technology, Centre for Applied Water Science, Institute for Applied Ecology, University of Canberra, Bruce, ACT 2601, Australia.
Ben C ScheeleFenner School of Environment & Society, The Australian National University, Canberra, ACT 2601, Australia.
Nick S WhiterodCoorong Lower Lakes Murray Mouth Research Centre, Goyder Institute for Water Research, Goolwa, SA 5211, Australia.
Conrad J HoskinCollege of Science & Engineering, James Cook University, Townsville, QLD 4811, Australia.
Bora AskaFaculty of Science, School of the Environment, The University of Queensland, St Lucia, QLD 4072, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-1873-6572
Chuanji YongFaculty of Science, School of the Environment, The University of Queensland, St Lucia, QLD 4072, Australia.
Ayesha TullochCentre for the Environment, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, QLD 4000, Australia.
Romola StewartWorld Wide Fund of Nature-Australia, Brisbane, QLD 4000, Australia.
James E M WatsonFaculty of Science, School of the Environment, The University of Queensland, St Lucia, QLD 4072, Australia.ORCID 0000-0003-4942-1984

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The global extinction crisis is intensifying rapidly, driven by habitat loss, overexploitation, climate change, invasive species, and disease. This unprecedented loss of species not only threatens ecological integrity but also undermines ecosystem services vital for human survival. In response, many countries have set ambitious conservation targets such as halting species extinctions, yet the necessary financial commitments to achieve this are rarely prescribed. Estimating costs can be achieved using an ensemble of spatially variable species-specific cost models for threat abatement activities. We employ this method to provide a cost assessment to halt extinctions for Australia's priority terrestrial and freshwater species. We show that it will cost ~AUD15.6 billion/year for 30 y to halt extinctions for these 99 priority species (comparable to 1% of Australia's GDP). The more ambitious objectives to move priority species down one threat category (~AUD103.7 billion/year) or remove from the threatened species list entirely (~AUD157.7 billion/year) would require considerably more investment. Regardless of what is spent, we found that 16 (16%) priority species could not be removed from the threatened species list due to extensive historical declines and pervasive, ongoing, unmanageable threats, such as climate change. But implementing these efforts could ensure conservation benefits for over 43% of all nationally listed nonmarine threatened species. Adequate funding is crucial for meeting government commitments and requires both government leadership and private sector investment.

Indexed as

Conservation of Natural ResourcesEndangered SpeciesExtinction, BiologicalAnimalsAustraliaClimate ChangeEcosystemHumansbiodiversitycomplementarityconservation financeconservation planningprioritization

Identifiers

PMID39899717
PMCPMC11831134

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.