Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39899200›Full record

ArticleInfectious diseases and therapy2025

Delayed Transition to 20-Valent Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine in Pediatric National Immunization Programs: Forgone Public Health and Economic Benefit.

Johnna Perdrizet, An Ta, Liping Huang, Warisa Wannaadisai, Aleksandar Ilic, Kyla Hayford, Ayman Sabra

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Infectious diseases and therapy, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Johnna PerdrizetGlobal Health Economics and Outcomes Research, Pfizer Canada, Kirkland, QC, Canada. Johnna.Perdrizet@pfizer.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4260-7607
An Ta, Cytel, UK.
Liping HuangGlobal Health Economics and Outcomes Research, Pfizer Inc, Collegeville, PA, USA.
Warisa WannaadisaiGlobal Health Economics and Outcomes Research, Pfizer UK, Tadworth, UK.
Aleksandar IlicGlobal Health Economics and Outcomes Research, Pfizer UK, Tadworth, UK.
Kyla HayfordMedial Development and Scientific/Clinical Affairs, Pfizer Vaccines, Collegeville, PA, USA.
Ayman SabraMedical Affairs, Vaccines, Antivirals and Evidence Generation, Pfizer, Paris, France.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionDespite the approval of a 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV20) for pediatric use in many regions globally, integration of PCV20 into national immunization programs (NIPs) is delayed in some countries. We explored the public health and economic benefits forfeited by postponing transitions from lower-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) to PCV20.

methodsA targeted literature review (TLR) identified modeling studies comparing the public health and economic impact of PCV20 versus 13-valent PCV (PCV13) or 15-valent PCV (PCV15) in pediatric NIPs. Only studies with accessible models underwent data extraction and analysis. Foregone public health (pneumococcal disease cases/disease-related deaths) and economic (medical/non-medical costs) outcomes, defined as the projected incremental differences between the outcomes associated with PCV20 and lower-valent PCVs, were calculated over 2 years following PCV20 implementation (per year and month). Discount rates for all outcomes were adjusted to 0% given the short time horizon and for consistency across analyses.

resultsThe TLR identified models from 13 countries globally. The monthly health benefits forgone due to delayed transitions from PCV13 to PCV20 ranged between 40 (Slovakia) and 1740 (Canada) pneumococcal disease cases averted in the first year of delay across populations, increasing by between 1.5 (Sweden) and 15-16 times (Germany and Mexico) in the second year. Forgone cumulative disease-related deaths averted ranged from 18 (Spain) to 2657 (Germany) and forgone cumulative direct medical cost-savings ranged from 930 thousand Euros (Portugal) to 146 million Euros (Germany) due to delayed transitions from PCV13 to PCV20 over 2 years. Similar, but slightly reduced, benefits were forfeited with delayed transitions from PCV15 to PCV20.

conclusionDelays in implementing PCV20 into pediatric NIPs were projected to have substantial negative public health and economic consequences. These results underscore the necessity for national immunization technical advisory groups, policymakers, health organizations, and manufacturers to accelerate replacement of lower-valent standard-of-care PCVs with PCV20.

Indexed as

Economic modelNational immunization programNational immunization technical advisory groupPCV20PediatricPneumococcal conjugate vaccinePneumococcal diseasePolicymakersPublic healthVaccine technical committee

Identifiers

PMID39899200
PMCPMC11933551

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.