Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39896243›Full record

ArticleJACC. Asia2025

Atrial Fibrillation Screening in the Elderly: A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis for Public Health Policy.

Yu-Hua Fu, Tze-Fan Chao, Yung-Hsin Yeh, Yi-Hsin Chan, Hsiu-Ting Chien, Shih-Ann Chen, Fang-Ju Lin

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in JACC. Asia, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Yu-Hua FuGraduate Institute of Clinical Pharmacy, College of Medicine, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan.
Tze-Fan ChaoDivision of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.
Yung-Hsin YehCardiovascular Department, Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Linkou, Taoyuan, Taiwan.
Yi-Hsin ChanCardiovascular Department, Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Linkou, Taoyuan, Taiwan.
Hsiu-Ting ChienGraduate Institute of Clinical Pharmacy, College of Medicine, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan.
Shih-Ann ChenDivision of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.
Fang-Ju LinGraduate Institute of Clinical Pharmacy, College of Medicine, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) screening identifies undiagnosed patients who can benefit from anticoagulant therapy, thereby reducing the risk of ischemic stroke. However, the long-term outcomes and costs related to population screening for this purpose in the Asian elderly remain unknown. Objectives: This study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of population screening for AF in the elderly in Taiwan and explore the optimal screening strategy from the health care sector's perspective. Methods: Using a Markov decision-analytic model, we simulated lifetime outcomes and costs of AF screening in a cohort of 10,000 individuals aged 75. Comparative analyses with a nonscreening approach assessed prevented ischemic strokes, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), costs, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs). Sensitivity analyses were conducted to address model uncertainty, while scenario analyses were performed to determine the optimal age and frequency of screening. Results: One-time population screening for AF among 75-year-olds prevented 45 ischemic strokes and gained 47.42 QALYs, with an additional cost of $592,450 (ICER: $12,493 per QALY gained). The cost-effectiveness of screening remained robust in sensitivity analyses, with anticoagulant effectiveness in ischemic stroke prevention being the most influential factor. Similar ICERs were observed for individuals aged 65 to 80 years. Implementing annual screening for individuals aged 65 to 80 years yielded an ICER of approximately $18,000 per QALY gained. Conclusions: Both one-time and annual population screening for AF in individuals aged 65 to 80 years appear to be cost-effective. Further research is needed to assess budgetary and feasibility aspects to establish an optimal screening program.

Indexed as

atrial fibrillationcost-effectiveness analysisischemic strokemass screening

Identifiers

PMID39896243
PMCPMC11782098

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.