Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39893424›Full record

ArticleBMC medical research methodology2025

Matching plus regression adjustment for the estimation of the average treatment effect on survival outcomes: a case study with mosunetuzumab in relapsed/refractory follicular lymphoma.

Danilo Di Maio, S A Mitchell, S Batson, E Keeney, Howard H Z Thom

3 registry-linked trialsAbstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in BMC medical research methodology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to 3 registered trials, which are not on this map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT02187861 phase2completednot on this map

A Phase II, Open-Label Study Evaluating the Safety and Efficacy of GDC-0199 (ABT-199) Plus Bendamustine Plus Rituximab (BR) in Comparison With BR Alone or GDC-0199 Plus Rituximab (R) in Patients With Relapsed and Refractory Follicular Non-Hodgkin's Lymphoma

TypeinterventionalSponsorHoffmann-La RocheRan2014 to 2018Enrolled163ConditionsFollicular LymphomaArmsVenetoclax, Bendamustine, Rituximab
NCT02257567 phase1 / phase2completednot on this map

A Phase IB/II Study Evaluating The Safety, Tolerability and Anti-Tumor Activity of Polatuzumab Vedotin in Combination With Rituximab (R) or Obinutuzumab (G) Plus Bendamustine (B) in Relapsed or Refractory Follicular or Diffuse Large B-Cell Lymphoma

TypeinterventionalSponsorHoffmann-La RocheRan2014 to 2021Enrolled331ConditionsLymphomaArmsBendamustine, Obinutuzumab, Polatuzumab vedotin (Liquid), Rituximab, Polatuzumab vedotin (Lyophilized)
NCT02500407 phase1 / phase2completednot on this map

An Open-Label, Multicenter, Phase I/II Trial Evaluating the Safety, Efficacy, and Pharmacokinetics of Escalating Doses of Mosunetuzumab (BTCT4465A) as a Single Agent and Combined With Atezolizumab in Patients With Relapsed or Refractory B-Cell Non-Hodgkin's Lymphoma and Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia

TypeinterventionalSponsorGenentech, Inc.Ran2015 to 2025Enrolled713ConditionsLymphocytic Leukemia, Chronic, Lymphoma, Non HodgkinArmsBTCT4465A (Mosunetuzumab) IV, Atezolizumab, BTCT4465A (Mosunetuzumab) SC
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Danilo Di MaioF. Hoffmann-La Roche Ltd, Basel, Switzerland. danilo.di_maio@roche.com.
S A MitchellMtech Access, Bicester, Oxfordshire, UK.
S BatsonMtech Access, Bicester, Oxfordshire, UK.
E KeeneyClifton Insight, Bristol, UK.
Howard H Z ThomClifton Insight, Bristol, UK. Howard.Thom@cliftoninsight.co.uk.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

objectivesThe National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (England's health technology assessment body) recommend the use of the average treatment effect (ATE) as an estimand for economic evaluations. However there is limited literature on methods to estimate the ATE, particularly in the case of survival outcomes. Single-arm trials and real-world data are playing an increasing role in health technology assessments, particularly in oncology/rare diseases, generating a need for new ATE estimation methods. This study aimed to present the adaptation and utility of this methodology for survival outcomes.

methodsThe approach is based on a "doubly robust" method combining matching with regression adjustment (Austin 2020) using a Weibull model (lowest Akaike information criteria [AIC] specification) to estimate counterfactual event times. As a case study, we compared mosunetuzumab versus rituximab/bendamustine, as a proxy for rituximab/chemotherapy, in 3L+ relapsed/refractory follicular lymphoma. Individual patient data for mosunetuzumab (NCT02500407) and a combination of two rituximab/bendamustine 3L+ follicular lymphoma cohorts (NCT02187861/NCT02257567) were used. Endpoints included overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS). Sensitivity analyses were performed to test robustness to different distributional assumptions (log-normal, log-logistic and exponential) or model specifications (second, third and fourth lowest AIC) for event times.

resultsThe case study found improved PFS (hazard ratio [HR] 0.43 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.13, 0.91]) and OS (HR 0.30 [95% CI: 0.05, 5.28]) for mosunetuzumab. Consistent findings (HR range 0.25-0.47 and 0.21-0.50 with all CIs excluding/including 1 for PFS/OS, respectively) were observed in sensitivity analyses. DISCUSSION/

conclusionsThe proposed adaptation expands the range of available approaches for the estimation of the (local) ATE for survival outcomes in health technology assessments using "doubly robust" methods. This approach appeared relatively robust to modelling decisions in our case study.

Indexed as

Antibodies, Monoclonal, HumanizedLymphoma, FollicularAgedAntineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy ProtocolsFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedNeoplasm Recurrence, LocalRegression AnalysisRituximabSurvival AnalysisTechnology Assessment, BiomedicalTreatment OutcomeAntibodies, Monoclonal, HumanizedRituximabATECounterfactualDoubly robustIndirect treatment comparisonsPropensity score matchingRegression adjustment

Identifiers

PMID39893424
PMCPMC11786573

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.