Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39890469›Full record

ArticleBirth defects research2025

A Generalized Machine Learning Model for Identifying Congenital Heart Defects (CHDs) Using ICD Codes.

Haoming Shi, Wendy M Book, Lindsey C Ivey, Fred H Rodriguez, Cheryl Raskind-Hood, Karrie F Downing, Sherry L Farr, Courtney E McCracken, Vinita O Leedom, Susan E Haynes and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Birth defects research, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Haoming ShiDepartment of Biomedical Engineering, Georgia Institute Technology, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-0228-6116
Wendy M BookDepartment of Medicine, Division of Cardiology, Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
Lindsey C IveyDepartment of Epidemiology, Emory University, Rollins School of Public Health, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
Fred H RodriguezDepartment of Medicine, Division of Cardiology, Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
Cheryl Raskind-HoodDepartment of Epidemiology, Emory University, Rollins School of Public Health, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
Karrie F DowningNational Center on Birth Defects and Developmental Disabilities, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-3063-1781
Sherry L FarrNational Center on Birth Defects and Developmental Disabilities, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
Courtney E McCrackenCenter for Research and Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Georgia, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
Vinita O LeedomSouth Carolina Department of Health and Environmental Control, Columbia, South Carolina, USA.
Susan E HaynesPrisma Health Upstate, Greenville, South Carolina, USA.
Sandra AmouzouCenter for Research and Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Georgia, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
Reza SameniDepartment of Biomedical Engineering, Georgia Institute Technology, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
Rishikesan KamaleswaranDepartment of Biomedical Engineering, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina, USA.

Funding

Implementing a Maternal health and PRegnancy Outcomes Vision for Everyone (IMPROVE)UL1TR002378 · NCATS · EMORY UNIVERSITY · PI Andres J Garcia, Elizabeth O. Ofili · 2017 to 2026
$92.1M
CDC HHSCenters for Disease Control CDC-RFA-DD19-1902BNCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR002378NCBDD CDC HHS NU50DD000098
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundInternational Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes utilized for congenital heart defect (CHD) case identification in datasets have substantial false-positive (FP) rates. Incorporating machine learning (ML) algorithms following case selection by ICD codes may improve the accuracy of CHD identification, enhancing surveillance efforts.

methodsTraditional ML methods were applied to four encounter-level datasets, 2010-2019, for 3334 patients with validated diagnoses and with at least one CHD ICD code identified. A 5-fold cross-validation approach was applied to the dataset to determine the set of overlapping important features best classifying CHD cases. Training and testing combinations were explored to determine the approach yielding the most accurate CHD classification.

resultsCHD ICD positive predictive values (PPVs) by site ranged from 53.2% to 84.0%. The ML algorithm achieved a PPV of 95% (1273/1340) for the four-site dataset with a false-negative (FN) rate of 33% (639/1912) by choosing an operating point prioritizing PPV from the PPV-FN rate curve. XGBoost reduced 2105 Clinical Classification Software (CCS) features to 137 that identified those with true-positive (TP) CHD and false-positive FP classification.

conclusionApplying ML algorithms following case selection by CHD-related ICD codes improved the accuracy of identifying TP true-positive CHD cases.

Indexed as

Heart Defects, CongenitalInternational Classification of DiseasesMachine LearningAlgorithmsFalse Positive ReactionsFemaleHumansMalecongenital heart diseasemachine learningpopulation health

Identifiers

PMID39890469
PMCPMC12027675

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.