Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39888984›Full record

ArticleScience advances2025

Increasing rat numbers in cities are linked to climate warming, urbanization, and human population.

Jonathan L Richardson, Elizabeth P McCoy, Nicholas Parlavecchio, Ryan Szykowny, Eli Beech-Brown, Jan A Buijs, Jacqueline Buckley, Robert M Corrigan, Federico Costa, Ray DeLaney and 9 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Science advances, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

19 authors.

Jonathan L RichardsonDepartment of Biology, University of Richmond, 138 UR Drive, Richmond, VA 23173, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-3701-2115
Elizabeth P McCoyDepartment of Biology, University of Richmond, 138 UR Drive, Richmond, VA 23173, USA.ORCID 0009-0009-3897-6336
Nicholas ParlavecchioDepartment of Biology, University of Richmond, 138 UR Drive, Richmond, VA 23173, USA.ORCID 0009-0003-4887-8074
Ryan SzykownyDepartment of Biology, University of Richmond, 138 UR Drive, Richmond, VA 23173, USA.ORCID 0009-0002-8561-5815
Eli Beech-BrownDepartment of Biology, University of Richmond, 138 UR Drive, Richmond, VA 23173, USA.ORCID 0009-0005-4900-7929
Jan A BuijsMunicipal Health Service, Amsterdam, Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-6512-7040
Jacqueline BuckleyUrban Wildlife Institute, Lincoln Park Zoo, Chicago, IL, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-1401-9645
Robert M CorriganRMC Pest Management Consulting, Chappaqua, NY, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-2419-2997
Federico CostaInstituto de Saúde Coletiva, Universidade Federal da Bahia, Salvador, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0001-6951-2336
Ray DeLaneyCity of Philadelphia, Department of Public Health, Environmental Health Services, PA, USA.
Rachel DennyNew Orleans Mosquito, Termite, and Rodent Control Board, New Orleans, LA, USA.
Leah HelmsSeattle/King County Solid Waste, Rodent, and Zoonotic Disease Program, Seattle, WA, USA.ORCID 0009-0000-3225-8004
Wade LeeAlameda County Department of Environmental Health, Alameda, CA, USA.ORCID 0009-0008-4843-3637
Maureen H MurrayUrban Wildlife Institute, Lincoln Park Zoo, Chicago, IL, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-2591-0794
Claudia RiegelNew Orleans Mosquito, Termite, and Rodent Control Board, New Orleans, LA, USA.
Fabio N SouzaInstituto de Saúde Coletiva, Universidade Federal da Bahia, Salvador, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0002-3542-8918
John UlrichCity of Boston, Department of Inspectional Services, Boston, MA, USA.
Adena WhyAlameda County Department of Environmental Health, Alameda, CA, USA.ORCID 0009-0005-3880-2580
Yasushi KiyokawaLaboratory of Veterinary Ethology, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.ORCID 0000-0002-4335-1404

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Urban rats are commensal pests that thrive in cities by exploiting the resources accompanying large human populations. Identifying long-term trends in rat numbers and how they are shaped by environmental changes is critical for understanding their ecology, and projecting future vulnerabilities and mitigation needs. Here, we use public complaint and inspection data from 16 cities around the world to estimate trends in rat populations. Eleven of 16 cities (69%) had significant increasing trends in rat numbers, including Washington D.C., New York, and Amsterdam. Just three cities experienced declines. Cities experiencing greater temperature increases over time saw larger increases in rats. Cities with more dense human populations and more urbanization also saw larger increases in rats. Warming temperatures and more people living in cities may be expanding the seasonal activity periods and food availability for urban rats. Cities will have to integrate the biological impacts of these variables into future management strategies.

Indexed as

Climate ChangeGlobal WarmingUrbanizationAnimalsCitiesHumansRats

Identifiers

PMID39888984
PMCPMC11784805

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.