Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39888615›Full record

ArticleJAMA network open2025

Survival Among Patients With ERBB2-Positive Metastatic Breast Cancer and Central Nervous System Disease.

Emanuela Ferraro, Anne S Reiner, Rabih Bou Nassif, Umberto Tosi, Samantha Brown, Sabrina Zeller, Chau T Dang, Andrew D Seidman, Nelson S Moss

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in JAMA network open, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Emanuela FerraroBreast Medicine Service, Department of Medicine, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, New York.
Anne S ReinerDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, New York.
Rabih Bou NassifDepartment of Neurosurgery and Brain Metastasis Center, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, New York.
Umberto TosiDepartment of Neurosurgery and Brain Metastasis Center, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, New York.
Samantha BrownDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, New York.
Sabrina ZellerDepartment of Neurosurgery and Brain Metastasis Center, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, New York.
Chau T DangBreast Medicine Service, Department of Medicine, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, New York.
Andrew D SeidmanBreast Medicine Service, Department of Medicine, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, New York.
Nelson S MossDepartment of Neurosurgery and Brain Metastasis Center, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, New York.

Funding

X-RAY CRYSTALLOGRAPHYP30CA008748 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INSTITUTE FOR CANCER RES · PI Hongbiao Carl Lekaye · 1985 to 2026
$347.4M
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA008748
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Importance: Approximately one-third of patients with ERBB2 (formerly HER2 or HER2/neu)-positive (ERBB2+) metastatic breast cancer (MBC) develop brain metastasis. It is unclear whether patients with disease limited to the central nervous system (CNS) have different outcomes and causes of death compared with those with concomitant extracranial metastasis. Objective: To assess overall survival (OS) and CNS-related mortality among patients with ERBB2+ breast cancer and a diagnosis of CNS disease by disease distribution (CNS only vs CNS plus extracranial metastasis). Design, Setting, and Participants: This single-center, retrospective cohort study included patients with ERBB2+ MBC and CNS disease, including parenchymal brain metastasis, leptomeningeal disease (LMD), or dural metastasis, who were treated between August 2010 and April 2022 at Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center. Data were analyzed between December 2023 and August 2024. Main Outcomes and Measures: Overall survival, estimated with the Kaplan-Meier method, and CNS-related mortality with cumulative incidence. Results: The cohort included 274 patients (272 [99.3%] female). The median age was 53.7 years (range, 28.7-87.4 years); 125 patients (45.6%) presented with de novo MBC. At CNS metastasis diagnosis, 73 (26.6%) presented with CNS-only disease. There was a median follow-up of 3.7 years (range, 0.2-12.0 years) from CNS disease diagnosis among those alive at the end of follow-up. Both OS and CNS-related death were significantly correlated with the pattern of presentation: OS was shortest among patients with LMD (1.24 years; 95% CI, 0.89-2.08 years) followed by those with extracranial metastasis (2.16 years; 95% CI, 1.87-2.58 years) and was longest among patients with parenchymal or dural CNS disease only (3.57 years; 95% CI, 2.10-5.63 years) (P = .001). Of 192 patients (70.1%) who died, 106 (55.2%) died of a CNS-related cause. The group with CNS-only disease remained at high risk of death from CNS causes, with a 3-year CNS-related death rate of 33.98% (95% CI, 22.84%-45.43%) and a 3-year death rate from other causes of 6.07% (95% CI, 1.93%-13.69%). On multivariable modeling for CNS-related death, LMD (hazard ratio, 1.87; 95% CI, 1.19-2.93; P = .007) and treatment with whole-brain radiotherapy (hazard ratio, 1.71; 95% CI, 1.13-2.58; P = .01) were associated with CNS-related death. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study, 55.2% of deaths among patients with ERBB2+ breast cancer and brain metastasis were due to CNS-related causes, with the greatest risk among patients with LMD. CNS-only presentation was associated with improved survival but a higher rate of CNS-related death, supporting an approach of aggressive local therapy for select patients.

Indexed as

Brain NeoplasmsBreast NeoplasmsCentral Nervous System NeoplasmsErb-b2 Receptor Tyrosine KinasesAdultAgedAged, 80 and overFemaleHumansMiddle AgedRetrospective StudiesERBB2 protein, humanErb-b2 Receptor Tyrosine Kinases

Identifiers

PMID39888615
PMCPMC11786230

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.