Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39887956›Full record

ArticleAnnals of clinical and translational neurology2025

Healthcare use is elevated two decades before a first demyelinating event and differs by age and sex.

Helen Tremlett, Feng Zhu, Karl Everett, Ayesha Asaf, Ali Manouchehrinia, Ping Li, Kyla A McKay, Jan Hillert, Yinshan Zhao, Colleen Maxwell and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Annals of clinical and translational neurology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Toward a global research agenda for preventing multiple sclerosis.Multiple sclerosis (Houndmills, Basingstoke, England) · 2026
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Helen TremlettFaculty of Medicine (Neurology), and the Djavad Mowafaghian Centre for Brain Health, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.ORCID 0000-0001-5804-2535
Feng ZhuFaculty of Medicine (Neurology), and the Djavad Mowafaghian Centre for Brain Health, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.
Karl EverettICES, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Ayesha AsafICES, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Ali ManouchehriniaDepartment of Clinical Neuroscience, Karolinska Institutet, Department of Neurology, Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0003-4857-5762
Ping LiICES, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Kyla A McKayDepartment of Clinical Neuroscience, Karolinska Institutet, Department of Neurology, Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-9081-1522
Jan HillertDepartment of Clinical Neuroscience, Karolinska Institutet, Department of Neurology, Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden.
Yinshan ZhaoFaculty of Medicine (Neurology), and the Djavad Mowafaghian Centre for Brain Health, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.
Colleen MaxwellICES, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Ruth Ann MarrieDepartment of Internal Medicine, Max Rady College of Medicine, Rady Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada.

Funding

Multiple Sclerosis Society of Canada EGID:P002/903124National Multiple Sclerosis Society RG5063A4/1/RFA-2103-37392
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveElevated healthcare use before multiple sclerosis (MS) onset suggests earlier opportunity to identify MS. Yet their timing and sociodemographic effects are unclear. We examined rates of healthcare use (and by age/sex) for >two decades pre-MS onset.

methodsWe identified people with MS (PwMS) using administrative data from Canada (Ontario) and Sweden (1991-2020) ("administrative" cohort), and the Swedish MS Registry ("clinical" cohort). The first MS/demyelinating diagnostic code (administrative) or symptom onset (clinical) defined MS onset. We compared annual rates of healthcare use (hospital, physician, and emergency-room [ED]) pre-onset between PwMS and up to five matched population controls using negative binomial regression, and by age/sex.

resultsThe administrative cohort = 35,018/136,007 PwMS/controls (Ontario), and 10,269/51,297 (Sweden). Rates of healthcare use were higher for PwMS than controls up to 28 (of 29) years (Ontario) and up to 15 (of 19) years (Sweden) pre-onset. Annual healthcare use rose steadily as onset approached, particularly escalating 7 years pre-onset in Ontario (e.g., hospital visit rate ratios [RRs] exceeded 1.30), and 6 years in Sweden (physician visit RRs > 1.10). RRs peaked the year pre-onset (ED visits [Ontario] = 3.04; 95% CI: 2.94-3.13, physician visits [Sweden] = 2.51; 95% CI: 2.44-2.59). In the year pre-onset, RRs were disproportionately higher for males (ED RRs [Ontario] = 3.30; 95% CI: 3.13-3.48 vs. females = 2.90; 95% CI: 2.79-3.02), and dropped steadily by age (physician visit RRs [Sweden] = 2.61/2.27/1.97/1.72 for 50/40/30/20-year-olds). The smaller clinical cohort (7604/37,974 PwMS/controls) exhibited similar patterns, albeit more modest, with RRs elevated up to 5 years pre-onset (physician visit RR [year-5] = 1.08; 95% CI: 1.02-1.14; RR [year-1] = 1.39;1.33-1.46).

interpretationHigher healthcare use was evident decades before MS onset, escalating 6-7 years pre-onset, peaking the year before, being disproportionately higher for males and older PwMS.

Indexed as

Multiple SclerosisPatient Acceptance of Health CareAdultAgedAge FactorsCohort StudiesFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedOntarioRegistriesSex FactorsSwedenYoung Adult

Identifiers

PMID39887956
PMCPMC11822793

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.