Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39887650›Full record

Observational studyArthritis & rheumatology (Hoboken, N.J.)2025

Serum Type I Interferon Score for Prediction of Clinically Meaningful Disease Progression in Limited Cutaneous Systemic Sclerosis.

Stefano Di Donato, Rebecca Ross, Ranjitha Karanth, Vishal Kakkar, Enrico De Lorenzis, Lesley-Anne Bissell, Kristina Clark, Philip Yee, Christopher P Denton, Francesco Del Galdo

Abstract readObservational StudyMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Arthritis & rheumatology (Hoboken, N.J.), 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Stefano Di DonatoLeeds Institute of Rheumatic and Musculoskeletal Medicine, University of Leeds and Leeds Biomedical Research Centre, National Institute for Health Research, Leeds Teaching Hospitals NHS Trust, Leeds, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-1256-0761
Rebecca RossLeeds Institute of Rheumatic and Musculoskeletal Medicine, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-7750-4280
Ranjitha KaranthLeeds Institute of Rheumatic and Musculoskeletal Medicine, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom.
Vishal KakkarLeeds Institute of Rheumatic and Musculoskeletal Medicine, University of Leeds and Leeds Biomedical Research Centre, National Institute for Health Research, Leeds Teaching Hospitals NHS Trust, Leeds, United Kingdom.
Enrico De LorenzisCatholic University of the Sacred Heart, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario Agostino Gemelli IRCCS, Rome, Italy.ORCID 0000-0001-9819-105X
Lesley-Anne BissellLeeds Institute of Rheumatic and Musculoskeletal Medicine, University of Leeds and Leeds Biomedical Research Centre, National Institute for Health Research, Leeds Teaching Hospitals NHS Trust, Leeds, United Kingdom.
Kristina ClarkUniversity College London, London, United Kingdom.
Philip YeeUniversity College London, London, United Kingdom.
Christopher P DentonUniversity College London, London, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-3975-8938
Francesco Del GaldoLeeds Institute of Rheumatic and Musculoskeletal Medicine, University of Leeds and Leeds Biomedical Research Centre, National Institute for Health Research, Leeds Teaching Hospitals NHS Trust, Leeds, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-8528-2283

Funding

Leeds Biomedical Research Centre NIHR213331
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo assess the value of serum type I interferon (IFN) score in predicting clinically meaningful progression in limited cutaneous systemic sclerosis (lcSSc) using a novel composite endpoint adopted from the MINIMISE clinical trial.

methodsA retrospective, longitudinal lcSSc cohort was identified within a national, multicenter observational cohort. The MINIMISE trial combined Morbi-mortality endpoint was used as the clinical outcome for a time to clinical worsening (TTCW) design. The IFN score was calculated from the serum concentration of chemokine C-C motif ligand (CCL) 2, CCL8, CCL19, C-X-C motif chemokine ligand (CXCL) 9, CXCL10, and CXCL11 on patients and age- and sex-matched healthy controls (HCs). A "high" IFN score was defined as 2 SDs above the HC mean. The association of the IFN score with TTCW was assessed using Cox proportional hazard regressions and Kaplan-Meier curves. The potential improvement in risk stratification when combining IFN score with lcSSc clinical features was explored.

resultsA total of 149 patients were included in the analysis: 67 "high" IFN and 82 "low." High IFN patients presented a shorter TTCW (74.7 months [95% confidence interval (CI) 70.1-79.3] vs 110.6 months [95% CI 107.2-114.0]; P < 0.001) and met the endpoint in higher proportion compared with low IFN (55% vs 12%; P < 0.001). A high IFN score conferred hazard ratio (HR) 5.5 (95% CI 2.7-11.3) for TTCW compared with low IFN, and IFN score as a continuous variable conferred HR 2.38 (95% CI 1.4-4.0) for TTCW independently of clinical variables. Pulmonary arterial hypertension, interstitial lung disease, digital ulcers, and modified Rodnan skin score were associated with TTCW. An exploratory analysis showed that these clinical features improve risk stratification over time in combination with IFN score.

conclusionSerum assessment of type I IFN activity is a valuable predictor of clinically meaningful outcomes in lcSSc. The combination of serum IFN score with sentinel clinical features can improve stratification strategies in clinical trials and patient management.

Indexed as

Interferon Type IScleroderma, SystemicAdultAgedChemokine CXCL10Disease ProgressionFemaleHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedProportional Hazards ModelsRetrospective StudiesChemokine CXCL10Interferon Type I

Identifiers

PMID39887650
PMCPMC12209744

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.