Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39884302›Full record

Observational studyThe Lancet. Microbe2025

Vaccine efficacy of NVX-CoV2373 against SARS-CoV-2 infection in adolescents in the USA: an ancillary study to a phase 3, observer-blinded, randomised, placebo-controlled trial.

Meagan E Deming, Elizabeth R Brown, Monica A McArthur, Stephanie J Schrag, Melissa Arvay, Mike Humphrys, Jacques Ravel, Jeffrey Adelglass, Brandon Essink, David B Musante and 10 more

Registry-linked trialAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in The Lancet. Microbe, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT04611802 (A Phase 3, Randomized, Observer-Blinded, Placebo-Controlled Study to Evaluate the Efficacy, Safety, and Immunogenicity of a SARS-CoV-2 Recombinant Spike Protein Nanoparticle Vaccine), which is not on this map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT04611802 phase3completednot on this map

A Phase 3, Randomized, Observer-Blinded, Placebo-Controlled Study to Evaluate the Efficacy, Safety, and Immunogenicity of a SARS-CoV-2 Recombinant Spike Protein Nanoparticle Vaccine (SARS-CoV-2 rS) With Matrix-M1™ Adjuvant in Adult Participants ≥ 18 Years With a Pediatric Expansion in Adolescents (12 to < 18 Years)

TypeinterventionalSponsorNovavaxRan2020 to 2023Enrolled33,000ConditionsSARS-CoV Infection, Covid19ArmsSARS-CoV-2 rS/Matrix-M1 Adjuvant (Initial Vaccination Period), Placebo (Initial Vaccination Period), SARS-CoV-2 rS/Matrix-M1 Adjuvant (Crossover Vaccination period), Placebo (Crossover Vaccination period), SARS-CoV-2 rS/Matrix-M1 Adjuvant (Booster Vaccination)
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Emerging and Pandemic Pathogens: Lessons Learned From a Clinical Research Network.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2025
    Review
  3. Historical Advances in Clinical Trial Design and Expanding Representation as the New Frontier for Innovation.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2025
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

20 authors.

Meagan E DemingBiomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority, Washington, DC, USA.
Elizabeth R BrownFred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, WA, USA.
Monica A McArthurCenter for Vaccine Development and Global Health, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Stephanie J SchragUS COVID-19 Domestic Response and Division of Bacterial Diseases, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Melissa ArvayUS COVID-19 Domestic Response and Division of Bacterial Diseases, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Mike HumphrysInstitute for Genome Sciences, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Jacques RavelInstitute for Genome Sciences, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Jeffrey AdelglassResearch Your Health, Plano, TX, USA.
Brandon EssinkMeridian Clinical Research, Omaha, NE, USA.
David B MusanteM3-Emerging Medical Research, Durham, NC, USA.
Rebecca MaguireCenter for Vaccine Development and Global Health, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Richard GormanBiomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority, Washington, DC, USA.
Elizabeth FormentiniBiomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority, Washington, DC, USA.
Robin MasonBiomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority, Washington, DC, USA.
Merlin L RobbHenry M Jackson Foundation for the Advancement of Military Medicine, Bethesda, MD, USA.
Kathleen M NeuzilCenter for Vaccine Development and Global Health, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Rekha R RapakaCenter for Vaccine Development and Global Health, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Peter WolffNational Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health, Washington, DC, USA.
Karen L KotloffCenter for Vaccine Development and Global Health, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA. Electronic address: kkotloff@som.umaryland.edu.
SNIFF study team

Funding

VTEU SupplementUM1AI148689 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF MARYLAND BALTIMORE · PI Karen L. Kotloff · 2020 to 2026
$52.7M
Human Cellular Immune Programming Against Invasive SalmonellaK08AI143923 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF MARYLAND BALTIMORE · PI RAPAKA, REKHA R · 2019 to 2023
$798k
Characterization of seasonal CoV immunity and operationalization of a novel controlled human infection model for the betacoronavirus OC43K08AI170950 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF MARYLAND BALTIMORE · PI Meagan Elise Deming · 2023 to 2026
$635k
NIAID NIH HHS K08 AI143923NIAID NIH HHS K08 AI170950NIAID NIH HHS UM1 AI148689US Department of Health and Human Services 75A50120D00017
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAlthough existing COVID-19 vaccines are known to be highly effective against severe disease and death, data are needed to assess their ability to reduce SARS-CoV-2 infection. We aimed to estimate the efficacy of the NVX-CoV2373 protein subunit vaccine against SARS-CoV-2 infection, regardless of symptoms, among adolescents.

methodsWe performed an ancillary observational study (SNIFF) to the phase 3, observer-blinded, randomised, placebo-controlled PREVENT-19 trial that assessed vaccine efficacy against symptomatic COVID-19 in the USA. Participants in the PREVENT-19 trial included healthy adolescents aged 12-17 years and with no history of laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection. They were randomly assigned (2:1) to receive either the NVX-CoV2373 (Novavax, Gaithersburg, MD, USA) vaccine (immediate NVX-CoV2373 group) or placebo (delayed NVX-CoV2373 group) on days 0 and 21 (initial series). After 2 months, in a crossover series, participants received two doses, 21 days apart, of the intervention that they did not receive in their initial series. Participants at 47 of the PREVENT-19 sites were invited to participate in the SNIFF study and self-collect nasal swabs at home twice weekly for SARS-CoV-2 testing to assess vaccine efficacy against SARS-CoV-2 infection. This primary outcome was defined as the first identification of SARS-CoV-2 detected by RT-PCR, regardless of symptoms, with onset within 4 weeks after the second dose of the initial vaccination series until the second dose of the crossover series. Secondary outcomes were vaccine efficacy against asymptomatic and minimally symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection, durability of vaccine efficacy against SARS-CoV-2 infection, and durability of vaccine efficacy against asymptomatic and minimally symptomatic infections. Outcomes were analysed in the modified intention-to-treat population, which included all participants without previous SARS-CoV-2 infection and was restricted to participants enrolled within 4 weeks of the second dose of the primary (primary analysis population) or crossover (post-crossover analysis population) series. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT04611802).

findingsBetween June 1 and Dec 17, 2021, 1196 (53·2%) of the 2247 adolescent participants recruited in the PREVENT-19 trial enrolled in the SNIFF study. The primary analysis population included 471 participants in the immediate NVX-CoV2373 group and 220 in the delayed NVX-CoV2373 group. Incidence of SARS-CoV-2 infection was 14·9 cases per 100 person-years (95% CI 7·9-25·5) in the immediate group and 54·2 cases per 100 person-years (33·6-82·9) in the delayed group; vaccine efficacy was 73·5% (95% CI 47·1-86·7; p=0·0002). Incidence of minimally symptomatic or asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection was 10·3 cases per 100 person-years (95% CI 4·7-19·6) in the immediate group and 36·1 cases per 100 person-years (19·8-60·7) in the delayed group; vaccine efficacy was 72·8% (95% CI 37·1-88·2; p=0·0023). After the second crossover dose, incidence of SARS-CoV-2 was 14·6 cases per 100 person-years (95% CI 8·6-23·0) in the immediate group (receiving placebo at crossover) and 9·1 cases per 100 person-years (3·0-21·3) in the delayed group, with a durability ratio of 160·3 (95% CI 59·5-431·6; p=0·35). Almost all infections after crossover were minimally symptomatic or asymptomatic, with a durability ratio of 151·4 (55·9-410·4; p=0·41).

interpretationAmong adolescents participating in the PREVENT-19 trial during the delta (B.1.617.2) variant wave of the COVID-19 pandemic, the NVX-CoV2373 vaccine was highly efficacious against SARS-CoV-2 infection regardless of symptoms, indicating its potential to reduce the reservoir of infections that contribute to community transmission.

fundingUS Department of Health and Human Services, Administration for Strategic Preparedness and Response, Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, and National Institutes of Health.

Indexed as

COVID-19COVID-19 VaccinesSARS-CoV-2Vaccine EfficacyAdolescentAntibodies, ViralChildClinical Trials, Phase III as TopicFemaleHumansMaleRandomized Controlled Trials as TopicUnited StatesAntibodies, ViralCOVID-19 VaccinesNVX-CoV2373 adjuvated lipid nanoparticle

Identifiers

PMID39884302
PMCPMC12383606

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.