Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39879300›Full record

ArticleScience advances2025

Variable vertical land motion and its impacts on sea level rise projections.

Marin Govorcin, David P S Bekaert, Benjamin D Hamlington, Simran S Sangha, William Sweet

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Science advances, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Increased flood exposure in the Pacific Northwest following earthquake-driven subsidence and sea-level rise.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Marin GovorcinJet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-1534-4992
David P S BekaertJet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-0408-0488
Benjamin D HamlingtonJet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, USA.
Simran S SanghaJet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-7458-9992
William SweetNOAA/National Ocean Service, Silver Spring, MD, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-0149-8336

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Coastal vertical land motion (VLM), including uplift and subsidence, can greatly alter relative sea level projections and flood mitigations plans. Yet, current projection frameworks, such as the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report, often underestimate VLM by relying on regional linear estimates. Using high-resolution (90-meter) satellite data from 2015 to 2023, we provide local VLM estimates for California and assess their contribution to sea level rise both now and in future. Our findings reveal that regional estimates substantially understate sea level rise in parts of San Francisco and Los Angeles, projecting more than double the expected rise by 2050. Additionally, temporally variable (nonlinear) VLM, driven by factors such as hydrocarbon and groundwater extraction, can increase uncertainties in 2050 projections by up to 0.4 meters in certain areas of Los Angeles and San Diego. This study highlights the critical need to include local VLM and its uncertainties in sea level rise assessments to improve coastal management and ensure effective adaptation efforts.

Identifiers

PMID39879300
PMCPMC11777200

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.