Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39876895›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in oncology2024

Global, regional and national burden of pancreatic cancer and its attributable risk factors from 2019 to 2021, with projection to 2044.

Xiao Li, Yi Zhang, Zeyi Yan, Wenkai Jiang, Shaozhen Rui

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in oncology, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Aporphine AlkaloidPharmaceuticals (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Xiao LiThe Second Clinical Medical School, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China.
Yi ZhangThe First School of Clinical Medicine, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China.
Zeyi YanThe First School of Clinical Medicine, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China.
Wenkai JiangThe Second Clinical Medical School, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China.
Shaozhen RuiThe Second Clinical Medical School, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: To estimate the global burden of pancreatic cancer in 2019 and 2021 including incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted-life-years (DALYs). Methods: Data on pancreatic cancer incidence, mortality and DALYs were downloaded from the Global Health Data Exchange. The 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) were reported for annual numbers and rates (per 100,000 populations). Results: In 2021, there were 508,532 (95% UI: 462,09 to 547,208) incident cases of pancreatic cancer globally, of which 273,617 (250,808 to 299,347; 53.8%) were in males. The age-standardized incidence rate was 6.0 (5.5 to 6.5) per 100,000 people in 2019 and decreased to 5.9 (5.4 to 6.4) per 100,000 people in 2021. There was a 3.9% increase in the number of deaths from pancreatic cancer from 486,869 (446,272 to 517,185) in 2019 to 505,752 (461,224 to 543,899) in 2021. There was a 3.5% increase in DALYs due to pancreatic cancer, increasing from 10.9 million (10.1 to 11.7) in 2019 to 11.3 million (10.5 to 12.2) in 2021. In 2021, the highest age-standardized death rates were observed in Greenland and Monaco, and the highest age-standardized DALY rates were observed in Greenland and Uruguay. The numbers of incident cases and deaths peaked at the ages of 70 to 74 years. The pancreatic cancer burden increased as the socio-demographic index increased. To 2044, the number of incident cases and deaths will be more than 875 thousand and 879 thousand, respectively. Conclusion: The disease burden of pancreatic cancer remains high, especially in high-income regions. More cancer prevention measures are needed in the future to reduce the burden of pancreatic cancer.

Indexed as

deathdisability-adjusted life yearsincidencepancreatic cancerrisks

Identifiers

PMID39876895
PMCPMC11772166

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.