Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39875514›Full record

ArticleNPJ precision oncology2025

A morphometric signature to identify ductal carcinoma in situ with a low risk of progression.

Marcelo Sobral-Leite, Simon P Castillo, Shiva Vonk, Hendrik A Messal, Xenia Melillo, Noomie Lam, Brandi de Bruijn, Yeman B Hagos, Myrna van den Bos, Joyce Sanders and 13 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in NPJ precision oncology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

23 authors.

Marcelo Sobral-LeiteDivision of Molecular Pathology, Netherlands Cancer Institute, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4275-8050
Simon P CastilloDivision of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, Department of Translational Molecular Pathology, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0606-2160
Shiva VonkDivision of Molecular Pathology, Netherlands Cancer Institute, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Hendrik A MessalDivision of Molecular Pathology, Netherlands Cancer Institute, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2259-0286
Xenia MelilloDivision of Molecular Pathology, Netherlands Cancer Institute, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Noomie LamDivision of Molecular Pathology, Netherlands Cancer Institute, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Brandi de BruijnDivision of Molecular Pathology, Netherlands Cancer Institute, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Yeman B HagosSarcoma Molecular Pathology Team, The Institute of Cancer Research, London, UK.
Myrna van den BosDivision of Molecular Pathology, Netherlands Cancer Institute, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9249-8461
Joyce SandersDivision of Molecular Pathology, Netherlands Cancer Institute, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0551-7813
Mathilde AlmekindersDivision of Molecular Pathology, Netherlands Cancer Institute, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Lindy L VisserDivision of Molecular Pathology, Netherlands Cancer Institute, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7856-1981
Emma J GroenDivision of Molecular Pathology, Netherlands Cancer Institute, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Petra KristelDivision of Molecular Pathology, Netherlands Cancer Institute, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Caner ErcanDivision of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, Department of Translational Molecular Pathology, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5611-2699
Leyla AzarangBiostatistics Centre and Division of Psychosocial Research and Epidemiology, Netherlands Cancer Institute, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5163-081X
Jacco van RheenenDivision of Molecular Pathology, Netherlands Cancer Institute, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
E Shelley HwangDepartment of Surgery, Duke University Comprehensive Cancer Center, Durham, NC, USA.
Yinyin YuanDivision of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, Department of Translational Molecular Pathology, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX, USA.
Grand Challenge PRECISION Consortium
Renee MenezesBiostatistics Centre and Division of Psychosocial Research and Epidemiology, Netherlands Cancer Institute, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Esther H Lips *Division of Molecular Pathology, Netherlands Cancer Institute, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3488-4935
Jelle Wesseling *Division of Molecular Pathology, Netherlands Cancer Institute, Amsterdam, The Netherlands. j.wesseling@nki.nl.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8940-2676

Funding

(PQC3) Genomic Diversity and Microenvironment as Drivers of Metastasis in DCISR01CA185138 · NCI · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI HWANG, E.SHELLEY, MALEY, CARLO · 2014 to 2017
$2.0M
Breast Cancer Now 2015NovPR638NCI NIH HHS R01 CA185138
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) may progress to ipsilateral invasive breast cancer (iIBC), but often never will. Because DCIS is treated as early breast cancer, many women with harmless DCIS face overtreatment. To identify features associated with progression, we developed an artificial intelligence-based DCIS morphometric analysis pipeline (AIDmap) on hematoxylin-eosin-stained (H&E) tissue sections. We analyzed 689 digitized H&Es of pure primary DCIS of which 226 were diagnosed with subsequent iIBC and 463 were not. The distribution of 15 duct morphological measurements was summarized in 55 morphometric variables. A ridge regression classifier with cross validation predicted 5-years-free of iIBC with an area-under the curve of 0.67 (95% CI 0.57-0.77). A combined clinical-morphometric signature, characterized by small-sized ducts, a low number of cells and a low DCIS/stroma ratio, was associated with outcome (HR = 0.56; 95% CI 0.28-0.78). AIDmap has potential to identify harmless DCIS that may not need treatment.

Identifiers

PMID39875514
PMCPMC11775207

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.