Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39872081›Full record

ArticleBioscience2024

Drought as an emergent driver of ecological transformation in the twenty-first century.

Wynne E Moss, Shelley D Crausbay, Imtiaz Rangwala, Jay W Wason, Clay Trauernicht, Camille S Stevens-Rumann, Anna Sala, Caitlin M Rottler, Gregory T Pederson, Brian W Miller and 8 more

Erratum issuedAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Bioscience, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
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  8. Article
  9. Restoration treatments enhance tree growth and alter climatic constraints during extreme drought.Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America · 2025
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

18 authors.

Wynne E MossConservation Science Partners, Truckee, California, United States.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2813-1710
Shelley D CrausbayConservation Science Partners, Truckee, California, United States.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3028-801X
Imtiaz RangwalaNorth Central Climate Adaptation Science Center and with the Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado, United States.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4313-9374
Jay W WasonSchool of Forest Resources at the University of Maine, Orono, Maine, United States.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1338-881X
Clay TrauernichtDepartment of Natural Resources and Environmental Management at the University of Hawai'i at Mānoa, Honolulu, Hawai'i, United States.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1509-8536
Camille S Stevens-RumannColorado Forest Restoration Institute in the Forest and Rangeland Stewardship Department at Colorado State University in Fort Collins, Colorado, United States.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7923-0487
Anna SalaDivision of Biological Sciences at the University of Montana, Missoula, Montana, United States.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4090-6758
Caitlin M RottlerSouth Central Climate Adaptation Science Center, University of Oklahoma, Norman, Oklahoma, United States.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8029-0631
Gregory T PedersonU.S. Geological Survey, Northern Rocky Mountain Science Center, Bozeman, Montana, United States.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6014-1425
Brian W MillerU.S. Geological Survey, North Central Climate Adaptation Science Center, Boulder, Colorado, United States.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1716-1161
Dawn R MagnessU.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Kenai National Wildlife Refuge, Soldotna, Alaska, United States.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0627-3574
Jeremy S LittellU.S. Geological Survey, Alaska Climate Adaptation Science Center, Anchorage, Alaska, United States.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5302-8280
Lee E FrelichDepartment of Forest Resources at the University of Minnesota, Saint Paul, Minnesota, United States.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9052-7070
Abby G FrazierGraduate School of Geography at Clark University, Worcester, Massachusetts, United States.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4076-4577
Kimberley T DavisDepartment of Ecosystem and Conservation Sciences at the University of Montana, Missoula, Montana, United States.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9727-374X
Jonathan D CoopClark School of Environment and Sustainability, Western Colorado University, Gunnison, Colorado, United States.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3930-340X
Jennifer M CartwrightU.S. Geological Survey, Southeast Climate Adaptation Science Center, Raleigh, North Carolina, United States.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0851-8456
Robert K BoothEarth and Environmental Science Department at Lehigh University, Bethlehem, Pennsylvania, United States.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9264-4959

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Under climate change, ecosystems are experiencing novel drought regimes, often in combination with stressors that reduce resilience and amplify drought's impacts. Consequently, drought appears increasingly likely to push systems beyond important physiological and ecological thresholds, resulting in substantial changes in ecosystem characteristics persisting long after drought ends (i.e., ecological transformation). In the present article, we clarify how drought can lead to transformation across a wide variety of ecosystems including forests, woodlands, and grasslands. Specifically, we describe how climate change alters drought regimes and how this translates to impacts on plant population growth, either directly or through drought's interactions with factors such as land management, biotic interactions, and other disturbances. We emphasize how interactions among mechanisms can inhibit postdrought recovery and can shift trajectories toward alternate states. Providing a holistic picture of how drought initiates long-term change supports the development of risk assessments, predictive models, and management strategies, enhancing preparedness for a complex and growing challenge.

Indexed as

climate changedisturbancedroughtecological transformationvegetation shift

Identifiers

PMID39872081
PMCPMC11770345

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.