Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39871199›Full record

ArticleBMC neurology2025

Number of children and dementia risk: a causal mediation analysis using data from the HUNT study linked with national registries in Norway.

Teferi Mekonnen, Vegard Skirbekk, Ekaterina Zotcheva, Bo Engdahl, Bernt Bratsberg, Astanand Jugessur, Catherine Bowen, Geir Selbæk, Hans-Peter Kohler, Jennifer R Harris and 9 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC neurology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

19 authors.

Teferi MekonnenDepartment for Physical Health and Aging, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway. teferimekonnen.yitayew@fhi.no.
Vegard SkirbekkDepartment for Physical Health and Aging, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway.
Ekaterina ZotchevaDepartment for Physical Health and Aging, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway.
Bo EngdahlDepartment for Physical Health and Aging, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway.
Bernt BratsbergCentre for Fertility and Health, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway.
Astanand JugessurCentre for Fertility and Health, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway.
Catherine BowenIndependent Researcher, Vienna, Austria.
Geir SelbækNorwegian National Centre of Ageing and Health, Vestfold Hospital Trust, Tønsberg, Norway.
Hans-Peter KohlerPopulation Aging Research Center and Department of Sociology, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA.
Jennifer R HarrisCentre for Fertility and Health, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway.
Sarah E TomDepartment of Neurology, Columbia University, Vagelos College of Physicians and Surgeons, New York, USA.
Steinar KrokstadDepartment of Public Health and Nursing, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, HUNT Research Centre, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, Norway.
Trine Holt EdwinDepartment of Geriatric Medicine, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo, Norway.
Yehani WedatilakeNorwegian National Centre of Ageing and Health, Vestfold Hospital Trust, Tønsberg, Norway.
Katrin WolfovaDepartment of Neurology, Columbia University, Vagelos College of Physicians and Surgeons, New York, USA.
Dana KristjanssonCentre for Fertility and Health, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway.
Yaakov SternDepartment of Neurology, Columbia University, Vagelos College of Physicians and Surgeons, New York, USA.
Asta Kristine HåbergDepartment for Physical Health and Aging, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway.
Bjørn Heine StrandDepartment for Physical Health and Aging, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway.

Funding

Changing lives, changing brains: How modern family and work life influences ADRD risksR01AG069109 · NIA · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI STERN, YAAKOV · 2020 to 2025
$3.1M
National Institutes of Health (NIH), R01 grant R01AG069109-01NIA NIH HHS R01 AG069109Research Council of Norway project number 262700.
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundChildlessness, as well as having a high number of children, has been reported to be associated with an elevated risk of dementia compared to having 2-3 children. The mechanisms underlying these relationships are not well understood and may be mediated by different midlife risk factors. We examined the mediating role of various factors on the relationship between the number of children and dementia risk. These factors include socioeconomic factors (e.g., occupational complexity), psychosocial (e.g.., social activities, loneliness, life satisfaction), lifestyle (e.g., smoking, physical inactivity, alcohol intake), and chronic diseases (e.g., obesity, diabetes, depression, hearing impairment and hypertension).

methodsUsing a historic cohort design, we included 9,745 participants born between 1931-48, with a mean age of 78.2 (SD = 6.4) years at the time of cognitive testing in the HUNT4 70 + sub-study (2017-2019). Further measures were obtained through data linkage between information from Statistics Norway and the HUNT1(1984-86), and HUNT2 (1995-97) Surveys. Causal mediation analyses using an inverse odd weighting approach were conducted to decompose the total effect of the number of children (0, 1, or 4 + children vs. 2-3) on the risk of dementia at age 70 + years into direct and indirect effects with mediators assessed at a mean age of 50.7 (SD = 6.4) years. The analyses were adjusted for age, sex, marital status at age 25 years, educational status, and religion assessed during HUNT3 (2006-2008).

resultsOverall, 15.7% were diagnosed with dementia. The proportions with dementia by the number of children were 22.3% among those with no children, 21.4% for those with one child, 13% for those with 2-3 children (specifically, 12.6% for those with 2 children and 13.4% for those with 3 children), and 19.9% for those with 4 + children. Compared to the reference group of individuals with 2-3 children, the dementia risk was higher among the groups with no children (relative risk (RR): 1.30, 95% confidence interval (CI) (1.12, 1.51)), those with one child (RR: 1.30, 95% CI (1.14, 1.47)) and those with 4 + children (RR: 1.12, 95% CI (1.01, 1.24)). The elevated risks of dementia were not mediated by the socioeconomic, psychosocial, lifestyle, or chronic diseases related factors that we tested. Sex-stratified analysis showed higher dementia risk for men without children and women with one or 4 + children compared to those with 2-3 children, with similar patterns across sexes. None of the mediators contributed to mediation in either group. None of the mediators appeared to contribute through mediation in either group.

conclusionsOur findings suggest that the number of children-specifically being childless, having one child, or having four or more children-may influence the risk of dementia. These relationships were not mediated by psychosocial, lifestyle, and socioeconomic factors, or markers of chronic diseases in adulthood considered in this study.

Indexed as

DementiaAgedAged, 80 and overCohort StudiesFemaleHumansMaleMediation AnalysisMiddle AgedNorwayRegistriesRisk FactorsSocioeconomic FactorsCausal mediation analysisDementiaNumber of childern

Identifiers

PMID39871199
PMCPMC11770967

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.