Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39869300›Full record

ArticleDrug safety2025

Sequential Epidemiological Analyses of Real-World Data: A Tool for Prospective Drug Safety Surveillance from the Rofecoxib Example.

Saad Hanif Abbasi, Lars Christian Lund, Jesper Hallas, Anton Pottegård

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Drug safety, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Saad Hanif AbbasiClinical Pharmacology, Pharmacy and Environmental Medicine, Department of Public Health, University of Southern Denmark, 5000, Odense C, Denmark.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7677-1985
Lars Christian LundClinical Pharmacology, Pharmacy and Environmental Medicine, Department of Public Health, University of Southern Denmark, 5000, Odense C, Denmark.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8651-6072
Jesper HallasClinical Pharmacology, Pharmacy and Environmental Medicine, Department of Public Health, University of Southern Denmark, 5000, Odense C, Denmark.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8097-8708
Anton PottegårdClinical Pharmacology, Pharmacy and Environmental Medicine, Department of Public Health, University of Southern Denmark, 5000, Odense C, Denmark. apottegaard@health.sdu.dk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9314-5679

Funding

Danmarks Frie Forskningsfond 1052-00035B
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionLarge administrative healthcare databases can be used for near real-time sequential safety surveillance of drugs as an alternative approach to traditional reporting-based pharmacovigilance. The study aims to build and empirically test a prospective drug safety monitoring setup and perform a sequential safety monitoring of rofecoxib use and risk of cardiovascular outcomes.

methodsWe used Danish population-based health registers and performed sequential analysis of rofecoxib use and cardiovascular outcomes using case-time-control and cohort study designs from January 2000 to September 2004. Each monitoring period added 6 months of data until the end of the study period. In the case-time-control study, incident cases of myocardial infarction (MI) and ischemic stroke were identified and matched with up to five time controls on age, sex, and calendar time. Exposure status on the date of diagnosis was assessed using a 60-day focal window, with reference windows 120, 180, and 240 days prior to the diagnoses. In the cohort study, incident users of rofecoxib were matched up to 1:4 with ibuprofen users (active comparators) using high-dimensional disease risk scores and were followed for 60 days.

resultsThe earliest association between rofecoxib use and the risk of MI was seen in study period 2 for case-time-control design (OR 1.42, 95% CI 1.04-1.93) and in study period 7 for the cohort study design (RR 1.22; 95% CI 1.02-1.47).

conclusionsOur prospective drug safety monitoring setup showed that the risk of MI could have been detected 3.5 years before the ultimate market withdrawal of rofecoxib. However, further research is needed to validate this approach.

Indexed as

Adverse Drug Reaction Reporting SystemsCyclooxygenase 2 InhibitorsLactonesSulfonesAdultAgedCase-Control StudiesCohort StudiesDatabases, FactualDenmarkFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedMyocardial InfarctionPharmacovigilanceCyclooxygenase 2 InhibitorsLactonesrofecoxibSulfones

Identifiers

PMID39869300
PMCPMC11982122

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.