Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39865475›Full record

ArticleJournal of the International AIDS Society2025

The effect of STI screening during pregnancy on vertical transmission of HIV and adverse pregnancy outcomes in South Africa: a modelling study.

Dorothy C Nyemba, Dvora L Joseph-Davey, Sinead Delany-Moretlwe, Landon Myer, Leigh F Johnson

Abstract read
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Article in Journal of the International AIDS Society, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Dorothy C NyembaDivision of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-3223
Dvora L Joseph-DaveyDivision of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.
Sinead Delany-MoretlweDivision of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0376-1019
Landon MyerDivision of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.
Leigh F JohnsonCentre for Integrated Data and Epidemiological Research, School of Public Health, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2717-011X

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionSexually transmitted infections (STIs) in pregnancy are associated with an increased risk of vertical HIV transmission and adverse pregnancy and birth outcomes. In South Africa, syndromic management is the standard of care for STI management. We assessed the potential impact of point-of-care (POC) screening for curable STIs (Chlamydia trachomatis [CT], Trichomonas vaginalis [TV] and Neisseria gonorrhoeae [NG]) during pregnancy on vertical HIV transmission and adverse pregnancy and birth outcomes.

methodWe developed a static mathematical model to estimate the impact of syndromic management compared to POC screening of STIs in pregnant women attending antenatal clinics in South Africa over one calendar year (2022). Our model assumptions regarding the effect of CT, NG and TV on adverse pregnancy/birth outcomes and vertical HIV transmission were informed by two separate meta-analyses that we conducted. Local studies informed estimates of STI prevalence, POC screening uptake and treatment, and sensitivity of syndromic management.

resultsIn the absence of POC screening for curable STIs, 25.5% of pregnant women without HIV and 34.6% of pregnant women living with HIV were estimated to have undiagnosed and untreated STIs. In the POC scenario, 92% (95% CI: 85-100%) of STIs were diagnosed and treated during pregnancy, reducing antenatal maternal HIV incidence by 10.0% (95% CI: 1.0-20.1%). Overall, vertical HIV transmission was anticipated to reduce by 8.6% (5.2-13.8%), with reductions of 20.9% (15.2-27.0%) at birth and 2.5% (-0.9% to 9.0%) postnatally, in the POC screening scenario compared to current syndromic management. POC screening of curable STIs is further estimated to reduce the incidence of stillbirth by 10.1% (1.3-18.7%), preterm delivery by 6.3% (3.4-9.7%), infants born small for gestational age by 2.7% (0.7-4.9%) and low birth weight by 9.1% (0.9-18%).

conclusionsPOC STI screening and treatment may modestly reduce maternal HIV incidence, vertical HIV transmission, and the risk of adverse pregnancy and birth outcomes, and would substantially reduce the burden of curable STIs in pregnancy. The study provides evidence to move beyond the syndromic management of STIs in South Africa, particularly in antenatal care.

Indexed as

HIV InfectionsInfectious Disease Transmission, VerticalMass ScreeningPregnancy Complications, InfectiousPregnancy OutcomeSexually Transmitted DiseasesAdultChlamydia InfectionsFemaleGonorrheaHumansInfant, NewbornModels, TheoreticalPregnancyPrevalenceSouth AfricaChlamydia trachomatisNeisseria gonorrhoeaeSouth AfricaSTI screeningTrichomonas vaginalisvertical HIV transmission

Identifiers

PMID39865475
PMCPMC11769709

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.