Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39863770›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2025

Estimating self-performance when making complex decisions.

Xiaping Lu, Carsten Murawski, Peter Bossaerts, Shinsuke Suzuki

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Xiaping LuCentre for Brain, Mind and Markets, Faculty of Business and Economics, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia. xiapingl@student.unimelb.edu.au.
Carsten MurawskiCentre for Brain, Mind and Markets, Faculty of Business and Economics, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-1237-9535
Peter BossaertsFaculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.
Shinsuke SuzukiCentre for Brain, Mind and Markets, Faculty of Business and Economics, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia. shinsuke.szk@gmail.com.ORCID 0000-0002-9816-9423

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Metacognition, the ability to monitor and reflect on our own mental states, enables us to assess our performance at different levels - from confidence in individual decisions to overall self-performance estimates (SPEs). It plays a particularly important part in computationally complex decisions that require a high level of cognitive resources, as the allocation of such limited resources presumably is based on metacognitive evaluations. However, little is known about metacognition in complex decisions, in particular, how people construct SPEs. Here, we examined how SPEs are modulated by task difficulty and feedback in cognitively complex economic decision-making, with reference to simple perceptual decision-making. We found that, in both types of decision-making, participants' objective performance was only affected by task difficulty but not by the presence of feedback. In complex economic decision-making, participants had lower SPEs in the absence of feedback (compared to the presence of feedback) in easy trials only but not in hard trials, while in simple perceptual decision-making, SPEs were lower in the absence of feedback in both easy and hard trials. Our findings suggest that people estimate their performance in complex economic decision-making through distinct metacognitive mechanisms for easy and hard instances.

Indexed as

Decision MakingMetacognitionAdultFemaleHumansMaleYoung AdultComplex decision-makingComputational complexityConfidenceKnapsack problemMetacognitionPerceptual decision-making

Identifiers

PMID39863770
PMCPMC11762300

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.