Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39857627›Full record

ArticleBiomedicines2024

Review and External Evaluation of Population Pharmacokinetic Models for Vedolizumab in Patients with Inflammatory Bowel Disease: Assessing Predictive Performance and Clinical Applicability.

Marija Jovanović, Ana Homšek, Srđan Marković, Đorđe Kralj, Petar Svorcan, Tamara Knežević Ivanovski, Olga Odanović, Katarina Vučićević

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Biomedicines, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Marija JovanovićDepartment of Pharmacokinetics and Clinical Pharmacy, Faculty of Pharmacy, University of Belgrade, 11221 Belgrade, Serbia.
Ana HomšekDepartment of Pharmacokinetics and Clinical Pharmacy, Faculty of Pharmacy, University of Belgrade, 11221 Belgrade, Serbia.ORCID 0000-0002-0127-5538
Srđan MarkovićDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University Hospital Medical Center "Zvezdara", 11000 Belgrade, Serbia.
Đorđe KraljDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University Hospital Medical Center "Zvezdara", 11000 Belgrade, Serbia.ORCID 0009-0005-9153-2153
Petar SvorcanDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University Hospital Medical Center "Zvezdara", 11000 Belgrade, Serbia.ORCID 0000-0001-7627-812X
Tamara Knežević IvanovskiDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University Hospital Medical Center "Zvezdara", 11000 Belgrade, Serbia.
Olga OdanovićDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University Hospital Medical Center "Zvezdara", 11000 Belgrade, Serbia.
Katarina VučićevićDepartment of Pharmacokinetics and Clinical Pharmacy, Faculty of Pharmacy, University of Belgrade, 11221 Belgrade, Serbia.ORCID 0000-0001-9676-5785

Funding

Science Fund of the Republic of Serbia 6777
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND/

objectivesSeveral population pharmacokinetic models of vedolizumab (VDZ) are available for inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) patients. However, their predictive performance in real-world clinical settings remains unknown. This study aims to externally evaluate the published VDZ pharmacokinetic models, focusing on their predictive performance and simulation-based clinical applicability.

methodsA literature search was conducted through PubMed to identify VDZ population pharmacokinetic models. A total of 114 VDZ concentrations from 106 IBD patients treated at the University Medical Center "Zvezdara", Republic of Serbia, served as the external evaluation cohort. The predictive performance of the models was assessed using prediction- and simulation-based diagnostics. Furthermore, the models were utilized for Monte Carlo simulations to generate concentration-time profiles based on 24 covariate combinations specified within the models.

resultsFour published pharmacokinetic models of VDZ were included in the evaluation. Using the external dataset, the median prediction error (MDPE) ranged from 13.82% to 25.57%, while the median absolute prediction error (MAPE) varied between 41.64% and 47.56%. None of the models fully met the combined criteria in the prediction-based diagnostics. However, in simulation-based diagnostics, pvcVPC showed satisfactory results, despite wide prediction intervals. Analysis of NPDE revealed that only the models by Rosario et al. and Okamoto et al. fulfilled the evaluation criteria. Simulation analysis further demonstrated that the median VDZ concentration remains above 12 μg/mL at week 22 during maintenance treatment for approximately 45-60% of patients with the best-case covariate combinations and an 8-week dosing frequency.

conclusionsNone of the published models satisfied the combined criteria (MDPE, MAPE, percentages of prediction error within ±20% and ±30%), rendering them unsuitable for a priori predictions. However, two models demonstrated better suitability for simulation-based applications.

Indexed as

NONMEMpharmacokineticsprediction errorpredictive performancesimulationsvedolizumab

Identifiers

PMID39857627
PMCPMC11762475

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.