Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39851645›Full record

ArticleEntropy (Basel, Switzerland)2024

Comparing Statistical and Machine Learning Methods for Time Series Forecasting in Data-Driven Logistics-A Simulation Study.

Lena Schmid, Moritz Roidl, Alice Kirchheim, Markus Pauly

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Entropy (Basel, Switzerland), 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Lena SchmidDepartment of Statistics, TU Dortmund University, 44227 Dortmund, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-6535-776X
Moritz RoidlChair of Material Handling and Warehousing, TU Dortmund University, 44227 Dortmund, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-7551-9163
Alice KirchheimChair of Material Handling and Warehousing, TU Dortmund University, 44227 Dortmund, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-8529-425X
Markus PaulyDepartment of Statistics, TU Dortmund University, 44227 Dortmund, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-0976-7190

Funding

Federal Ministry of Food and Agriculture 28-D-K1.02F-20
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Many planning and decision activities in logistics and supply chain management are based on forecasts of multiple time dependent factors. Therefore, the quality of planning depends on the quality of the forecasts. We compare different state-of-the-art forecasting methods in terms of forecasting performance. Differently from most existing research in logistics, we do not perform this in a case-dependent way but consider a broad set of simulated time series to give more general recommendations. We therefore simulate various linear and nonlinear time series that reflect different situations. Our simulation results showed that the machine learning methods, especially Random Forests, performed particularly well in complex scenarios, with the differentiated time series training significantly improving the robustness of the model. In addition, the time series approaches proved to be competitive in low noise scenarios.

Indexed as

forecastingmachine learningsimulation studytime series

Identifiers

PMID39851645
PMCPMC11765273

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.