Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39851061›Full record

ArticleCirculation. Genomic and precision medicine2025

Lipoprotein(a) Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Risk Score Development and Prediction in Primary Prevention From Real-World Data.

Wenjun Fan, Chuyue Wu, Nathan D Wong

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Circulation. Genomic and precision medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  7. Article
  8. Lipoprotein (a) in primary cardiovascular disease prevention is actionable today.American heart journal plus : cardiology research and practice · 2025
    Review
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  11. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Wenjun FanMary and Steve Wen Cardiovascular Division, Department of Medicine (W.F., N.D.W.), University of California, Irvine.ORCID 0000-0001-6652-9431
Chuyue WuDepartment of Epidemiology (C.W., N.D.W.), University of California, Los Angeles.ORCID 0009-0001-6322-1260
Nathan D WongMary and Steve Wen Cardiovascular Division, Department of Medicine (W.F., N.D.W.), University of California, Irvine.ORCID 0000-0003-1102-7324

Funding

Vanderbilt Institute for Clinical and Translational Research (VICTR) -Identifying correlates of functional immunity in SARS-CoV-2 convalescent plasmaUL1TR002243 · NCATS · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER · PI Paul A. Harris, Wesley H Self · 2017 to 2026
$130.7M
VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY CTSA FOR PEDIATRIC RESEARCHUL1RR024975 · NCRR · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY · PI BERNARD, GORDON RAPHAEL · 2007 to 2011
$45.7M
The Vanderbilt Institute for Clinical and Translational Research (VICTR)UL1TR000445 · NCATS · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER · PI BERNARD, GORDON RAPHAEL · 2012 to 2016
$41.4M
FRAMINGHAM HEART STUDY - YEAR 5 EXAM75N92019D00031 · NHLBI · BOSTON UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CAMPUS · 2019 to 2024
$29.8M
Automated Storage and Retrieval of Biological SystemsS10RR025141 · NCRR · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY · PI RODEN, DAN M · 2008 to 2008
$988k
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6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundLipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)] is a predictor of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD); however, there are few algorithms incorporating Lp(a), especially from real-world settings. We developed an electronic health record (EHR)-based risk prediction algorithm including Lp(a).

methodsUtilizing a large EHR database, we categorized Lp(a) cut points at 25, 50, and 75 mg/dL and constructed 10-year ASCVD risk prediction models incorporating Lp(a), with external validation in a pooled cohort of 4 US prospective studies. Net reclassification improvement was determined among borderline-intermediate risk patients.

resultsWe included 5902 patients aged ≥18 years (mean age 48.7±16.7 years, 51.2% women, and 7.7% Black). Our EHR model included Lp(a), age, sex, Black race/ethnicity, systolic blood pressure, total and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, diabetes, smoking, and hypertension medication. Over a mean follow-up of 6.8 years, ASCVD event rates (per 1000 person-years) ranged from 8.7 to 16.7 across Lp(a) groups. A 25 mg/dL increment in Lp(a) was associated with an adjusted hazard ratio of 1.23 (95% CI, 1.10-1.37) for composite ASCVD. Those with Lp(a) ≥75 mg/dL had an 88% higher risk of ASCVD (hazard ratio, 1.88 [95% CI, 1.30-2.70]) and more than double the risk of incident stroke (hazard ratio, 2.55 [95% CI, 1.54-4.23]). C-statistics for our EHR and EHR+Lp(a) models in our EHR training data set were 0.7475 and 0.7556, respectively, with external validation in our pooled cohort (n=21 864) of 0.7350 and 0.7368, respectively. Among those at borderline/intermediate risk, the net reclassification improvement was 21.3%.

conclusionsWe show the feasibility of developing an improved ASCVD risk prediction model incorporating Lp(a) based on a real-world adult clinic population. The inclusion of Lp(a) in ASCVD prediction models can reclassify risk in patients who may benefit from more intensified ASCVD prevention efforts.

Indexed as

AtherosclerosisCardiovascular DiseasesLipoprotein(a)Primary PreventionAdultAgedAlgorithmsElectronic Health RecordsFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedProspective StudiesRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsLipoprotein(a)cardiovascular diseaseelectronic health recordslipoprotein(a)risk assessment

Identifiers

PMID39851061
PMCPMC11849056

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.