Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39851049›Full record

ArticleCirculation. Genomic and precision medicine2025

Dynamic Importance of Genomic and Clinical Risk for Coronary Artery Disease Over the Life Course.

Sarah M Urbut, So Mi Jemma Cho, Kaavya Paruchuri, Buu Truong, Sara Haidermota, Gina M Peloso, Whitney E Hornsby, Anthony Philippakis, Akl C Fahed, Pradeep Natarajan

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Circulation. Genomic and precision medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. Polygenic Risk Scores in Human Disease.Clinical chemistry · 2025
    Review
  15. Article
  16. Review
  17. Review
  18. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Sarah M UrbutDivision of Cardiology (S.M.U., K.P., B.T., A.C.F., P.N.), Department of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston.ORCID 0000-0002-1135-9647
So Mi Jemma ChoCenter for Genomic Medicine (S.M.U., S.M.J.C., K.P., B.T., S.H., W.E.H., A.C.F., P.N.), Department of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston.ORCID 0000-0003-2460-3335
Kaavya ParuchuriDivision of Cardiology (S.M.U., K.P., B.T., A.C.F., P.N.), Department of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston.ORCID 0000-0003-1228-1674
Buu TruongDivision of Cardiology (S.M.U., K.P., B.T., A.C.F., P.N.), Department of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston.ORCID 0000-0003-0043-0812
Sara HaidermotaCenter for Genomic Medicine (S.M.U., S.M.J.C., K.P., B.T., S.H., W.E.H., A.C.F., P.N.), Department of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston.ORCID 0000-0002-8588-3388
Gina M PelosoDepartment of Biostatistics, Boston University School of Public Health, MA (G.M.P.).ORCID 0000-0002-5355-8636
Whitney E HornsbyCenter for Genomic Medicine (S.M.U., S.M.J.C., K.P., B.T., S.H., W.E.H., A.C.F., P.N.), Department of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston.ORCID 0000-0002-0672-0338
Anthony PhilippakisEric and Wendy Schmidt Center (A.P.), Broad Institute of MIT & Harvard, Cambridge, MA.
Akl C Fahed *Division of Cardiology (S.M.U., K.P., B.T., A.C.F., P.N.), Department of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston.ORCID 0000-0002-4849-6389
Pradeep Natarajan *Division of Cardiology (S.M.U., K.P., B.T., A.C.F., P.N.), Department of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston.ORCID 0000-0001-8402-7435

Funding

Using genetic variation to study biology of blood lipids & coronary heart diseaseR01HL127564 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Pradeep Natarajan, Gina Marie Peloso · 2015 to 2026
$7.3M
Clonal hematopoiesis in the Womens Health Initiative Memory StudyR01HL148565 · NHLBI · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI ALEXANDER P REINER, Eric A. Whitsel · 2019 to 2026
$5.9M
Clonal hematopoiesis in humans: determinants of development and progressionR01HL148050 · NHLBI · BAYLOR COLLEGE OF MEDICINE · PI BALLANTYNE, CHRISTIE MITCHELL, NATARAJAN, PRADEEP · 2019 to 2022
$5.9M
Enabling improved applicability and transferability of polygenic scores across populationsU01HG011719 · NHGRI · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI Alicia Martin · 2021 to 2026
$5.5M
Whole genome sequences in individuals to comprehensively characterize the genetic mechanisms of dyslipidemiasR01HL142711 · NHLBI · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI Satoshi Koyama, Gina Marie Peloso · 2019 to 2026
$4.7M
Coronary plaque changes with statin and colchicine among people with high polygenic risk- a mechanistic pilot studyR01HL164629 · NHLBI · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI Akl C Fahed, Michael TseYin Lu · 2023 to 2026
$3.3M
Partners Healthcare Training Program in Precision and Genomic MedicineT32HG010464 · NHGRI · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI HEIDI L REHM, JORDAN W SMOLLER · 2019 to 2026
$3.1M
Integration of novel contextual and genomic blood pressure measures to enhance cardiovascular disease prediction and management in young adultsK99HL177340 · NHLBI · BROAD INSTITUTE, INC. · PI So Mi Cho · 2025 to 2026
$331k
NHGRI NIH HHS T32 HG010464NHGRI NIH HHS U01 HG011719NHLBI NIH HHS K99 HL177340NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL127564NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL142711NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL148050NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL148565NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL164629
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundEarlier identification of high coronary artery disease (CAD) risk individuals may enable more effective prevention strategies. However, existing 10-year risk frameworks are ineffective at earlier identification. We sought to understand how the variable importance of genomic and clinical factors across life stages may significantly improve lifelong CAD event prediction.

methodsA longitudinal study was performed using data from 2 cohort studies: the FOS (Framingham Offspring Study) with 3588 participants aged 19 to 57 years and the UKB (UK Biobank) with 327 837 participants aged 40 years to 70 years. A total of 134 765 and 3 831 734 person-time years were observed in FOS and UKB, respectively. Hazard ratios for CAD were calculated for polygenic risk score (PRS) and clinical risk factors at each age of enrollment. The relative importance of PRS and pooled cohort equations in predicting CAD events was also evaluated by age groups.

resultsThe importance of CAD PRS diminished over the life course, with a hazard ratio of 3.58 (95% CI, 1.39-9.19) at the age of 19 years in FOS and a hazard ratio of 1.51 (95% CI, 1.48-1.54) by the age of 70 years in UKB. Clinical risk factors exhibited similar age-dependent trends. PRS significantly outperformed pooled cohort equations in identifying subsequent CAD events in the 40- to 45-year age group, with 3.2-fold more appropriately identified events. Overall, adding PRS improved the area under the receiving operating curve of the pooled cohort equations by an average of +5.1% (95% CI, 4.9%-5.2%) across all age groups; among individuals <55 years, PRS augmented the area under the receiver operater curve (ROC) of the pooled cohort equations by 6.5% (95% CI, 5.5%-7.5%;

conclusionsGenomic and clinical risk factors for CAD display time-varying importance across the lifespan. The study underscores the added value of CAD PRS, particularly among individuals younger than 55 years, for enhancing early risk prediction and prevention strategies. All results are available at https://surbut.github.io/dynamicHRpaper/index.html.

Indexed as

Coronary Artery DiseaseGenomicsAdultAgedFemaleHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsYoung Adultcardiovascular diseasescoronary artery diseasegenomicsrisk factorsstatistics

Identifiers

PMID39851049
PMCPMC11835529

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.