Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39849115›Full record

ArticlePediatric research2025

Unbound bilirubin and risk of severe neurodevelopmental impairment in extremely low birthweight newborns.

Cody C Arnold, Ivana Maric, Ronald J Wong, Jon E Tyson, David K Stevenson

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Pediatric research, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Cody C ArnoldDivision of Neonatal and Developmental Medicine, Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Palo Alto, CA, USA. codya@stanford.edu.
Ivana MaricDivision of Neonatal and Developmental Medicine, Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Palo Alto, CA, USA.
Ronald J WongDivision of Neonatal and Developmental Medicine, Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Palo Alto, CA, USA.
Jon E TysonDivision of Neonatal and Developmental Medicine, Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Palo Alto, CA, USA.
David K StevensonDivision of Neonatal and Developmental Medicine, Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Palo Alto, CA, USA.

Funding

Neonatal Research Network Data Coordinating Center (DCC)U10HD036790 · NICHD · RESEARCH TRIANGLE INSTITUTE · PI DAS, ABHIK · 2008 to 2017
$62.3M
NICHD Cooperative Multicenter Neonatal Research NetworkU10HD021385 · NICHD · WAYNE STATE UNIVERSITY · PI SHANKARAN, SEETHA · 1991 to 2015
$8.7M
NICHD Cooperative Multicenter Neonatal Research NetworkU10HD027904 · NICHD · WOMEN AND INFANTS HOSPITAL-RHODE ISLAND · PI LAPTOOK, ABBOT R · 1991 to 2015
$8.7M
NICHD Maternal Fetal Medicine Units NetworkU10HD021410 · NICHD · MAGEE-WOMEN'S RES INST AND FOUNDATION · PI CARITIS, STEVE N · 1991 to 2015
$7.2M
MULTICENTER NETWORK OF NEONATAL INTENSIVE CARE UNITSU10HD021397 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF MIAMI SCHOOL OF MEDICINE · PI DUARA, SHAHNAZ · 1991 to 2006
$6.7M
NICHD Cooperative Multicenter Neonatal Research NetworkU10HD034216 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA AT BIRMINGHAM · PI CARLO FONT, WALDEMAR A. · 1996 to 2015
$6.4M
NICHD Cooperative Multicenter Neonatal Research NetworkU10HD027853 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF CINCINNATI · PI SCHIBLER, KURT R · 1991 to 2015
$6.2M
NICHD Cooperative Multicenter Neonatal Research NetworkU10HD027880 · NICHD · STANFORD UNIVERSITY · PI VAN MEURS, KRISA PAGE · 1991 to 2015
$6.1M
NICHD Cooperative Multicenter Neonatal Research NetworkU10HD021373 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS SW MED CTR/DALLAS · PI KENNEDY, KATHLEEN A · 1991 to 2015
$6.1M
NICHD Cooperative Multicenter Neonatal Research NetworkU10HD021364 · NICHD · CASE WESTERN RESERVE UNIVERSITY · PI WALSH, MICHELE · 1991 to 2015
$6.1M
NICHD Cooperative Multicenter Neonatal Research NetworkU10HD027856 · NICHD · INDIANA UNIV-PURDUE UNIV AT INDIANAPOLIS · PI SOKOL, GREGORY M. · 1991 to 2015
$5.9M
NICHD Cooperative Multicenter Neonatal Research NetworkU10HD040689 · NICHD · UT SOUTHWESTERN MEDICAL CENTER · PI WYCKOFF, MYRA HELEN · 2001 to 2015
$5.6M
NICHD NIH HHS U10 HD021364NICHD NIH HHS U10 HD021373NICHD NIH HHS U10 HD021385NICHD NIH HHS U10 HD021397NICHD NIH HHS U10 HD021410NICHD NIH HHS U10 HD027851NICHD NIH HHS U10 HD027853NICHD NIH HHS U10 HD027856NICHD NIH HHS U10 HD027871NICHD NIH HHS U10 HD027880NICHD NIH HHS U10 HD027904NICHD NIH HHS U10 HD034216NICHD NIH HHS U10 HD036790NICHD NIH HHS U10 HD040461NICHD NIH HHS U10 HD040492NICHD NIH HHS U10 HD040498NICHD NIH HHS U10 HD040521NICHD NIH HHS U10 HD040689NICHD NIH HHS UG1 HD021364NICHD NIH HHS UG1 HD021385NICHD NIH HHS UG1 HD027851NICHD NIH HHS UG1 HD027853NICHD NIH HHS UG1 HD027856NICHD NIH HHS UG1 HD027880NICHD NIH HHS UG1 HD027904NICHD NIH HHS UG1 HD034216NICHD NIH HHS UG1 HD040492NICHD NIH HHS UG1 HD040689NICHD NIH HHS UG1 HD112093
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundUnbound bilirubin (UB) was measured on day 5 ± 1 in 1101 ELBW newborns in the Aggressive vs Conservative Phototherapy randomized controlled trial. We accessed this dataset to quantify the UB-mediated risk of severe neurodevelopmental impairment (sNDI) in extremely low birthweight (ELBW) newborns.

methodsUB levels were standardized within laboratories as z-score percentiles. A dichotomous UB exposure variable was based on sharply increased risk of sNDI at the 85th percentile (UBz>85th). Targeted maximum likelihood estimation with ensemble machine learning (TMLE + ML) and logistic regression (LR) were used to estimate sNDI risk attributable to UBz>85th.

resultsUB - total bilirubin correlation was poor: R

conclusionsExposure to UBz>85th was associated with a large increase in risk of sNDI in ELBW newborns. IMPACT: Accessing the only large dataset with measures of unbound bilirubin (UB) and neurodevelopmental outcomes in extremely low birthweight (ELBW) newborns we found poor correlation between UB and total bilirubin (TB). The risk of severe neurodevelopmental impairment (sNDI) associated with UB rose non-linearly with an inflection point at UB z-score 85th percentile (UBz>85th), increasing the risk of sNDI by an estimated 14% (number need to harm: 7). The current incidence of exposure to harmful UB levels in very premature newborns is unlikely to be rare. TB levels provide a false sense of security to clinicians caring for very premature newborns.

Indexed as

BilirubinInfant, Extremely Low Birth WeightNeurodevelopmental DisordersFemaleHumansInfant, NewbornMalePhototherapyRisk FactorsBilirubin

Identifiers

PMID39849115
PMCPMC12284093

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.