Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39849014›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2025

Trends, global comparisons, and projections of early onset colorectal cancer burden in China based on GBD study 2021.

Shun Seng Ong, Lianjie Xu, Xiaoyue Deng, Hai Lu, Tianshu Xu

Abstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Shun Seng OngDepartment of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital, The Drum Tower Clinical Medical College, Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, China.
Lianjie XuDepartment of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital, The Drum Tower Clinical Medical College, Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, China.
Xiaoyue DengDepartment of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital, The Drum Tower Clinical Medical College, Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, China.
Hai LuDepartment of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital, The Drum Tower Clinical Medical College, Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, China. 13821663325@163.com.
Tianshu XuDepartment of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital, The Drum Tower Clinical Medical College, Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, China. tianshuxu2007@126.com.

Funding

China Postdoctoral Science Foundation 2022M7115901Jiangsu Funding Program for Excellent 2022ZB714Nanjing HealthTechnology Development Program YKK23067National Natural Science Foundation of China 82274520Natural Science foundation of Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine XZR2023072
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This study aimed to analyze the trends of early-onset colorectal cancer (EOCRC) among individuals aged 15 to 49 in China from 1990 to 2021 and compare them with global patterns using data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study. The analysis focused on age-standardized incidence rates (ASIR), prevalence rates (ASPR), mortality rates (ASMR), and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). Joinpoint regression was used to determine the average annual percentage change (AAPC), and the ARIMA model was employed to forecast trends from 2022 to 2050. Results showed a significant increase in ASIR and ASPR in China, with a more rapid rise compared to global trends. ASMR and DALYs showed a decline, indicating improved survival rates. However, the increasing DALYs in China suggest a growing health impact. The ARIMA projections indicate a continued increase in EOCRC burden in China, highlighting the need for enhanced prevention and early detection strategies. This study underscores the necessity for intensified public health interventions to address the rising incidence of EOCRC in China.

Indexed as

Colorectal NeoplasmsAdolescentAdultAge of OnsetChinaDisability-Adjusted Life YearsFemaleGlobal Burden of DiseaseHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedPrevalenceYoung AdultARIMA modelEarly-onset colorectal cancerEOCRCGlobal burden of diseaseJoinpoint regression

Identifiers

PMID39849014
PMCPMC11758016

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.