Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39848637›Full record

ArticleBMJ global health2025

Exploring the burden of cholera in the WHO African region: patterns and trends from 2000 to 2023 cholera outbreak data.

Etien Luc Koua, Fleury Hybriel Moussana, Vincent Dossou Sodjinou, Freddy Kambale, Jean Paul Kimenyi, Saliou Diallo, Joseph Okeibunor, Abdou Salam Gueye

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ global health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 25 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
25citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

25 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Review
  19. Article
  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Etien Luc KouaWorld Health Organization, Brazzaville, Congo.
Fleury Hybriel MoussanaWorld Health Organization, Brazzaville, Congo.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0001-3699-5658
Vincent Dossou SodjinouEmergency Preparedness and Response, World Health Organization Regional Office for Africa, Dakar, Senegal.
Freddy KambaleWorld Health Organization, Dakar, Senegal.
Jean Paul KimenyiRegional Office for Africa, Brazzaville, Congo.
Saliou DialloWorld Health Organization, Brazzaville, Congo.
Joseph OkeibunorEmergency Preparedness and Response, World Health Organization, Brazzaville, Congo okeibunorj@who.int.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6696-8503
Abdou Salam GueyeEmergency Preparedness and Response Programme, Brazzaville, Congo.

Funding

World Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionCholera outbreaks remain persistent in the WHO African region, with an increased trend in recent years. This study analyses actual drivers of cholera including correlations with water, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH) indicators, and climate change trends.

methodsThis was a cross-sectional descriptive and analytic study. Cholera data from 2000 to 2023 and data relating to cholera drivers were compiled and analysed through multi-level exploratory analysis. We cross-referenced several WASH indicators, and generated a similarity matrix to categorise countries or subnational units into groups using principal component analysis and K-means clustering. We integrated cholera outbreak data with WASH indicators and created a matrix of indicators relevant for analysing cholera burden. We conducted summary statistics, temporal visualisations, Geographic Information System (GIS) mapping, trend analysis and statistical tests for correlations to derive patterns and trends from the data, derive similarities and develop projections.

resultsA total of 2 727 172 cases and 63 182 deaths were reported from 44 countries, representing 94% of the 47 countries in the region, from 2000 to 2023. The case fatality ratio of 2.3% is suggestive of issues in case management. A total of 684 outbreaks were reported, with the highest burdens in Nigeria and the Democratic Republic of the Congo. Median detection time to outbreak was 2 days, while median time for outbreak control was 92 days. Cholera incidence seemed higher in the period 2014 to 2023 than in the period before 2014. The study results confirmed correlations between WASH indicators and cholera outbreaks. Risks factors include drinking surface water, lacking soap and/or water, and open defaecation. Over 29% and 58.8% of the population lack access to basic water and basic sanitation, respectively.

conclusionInsufficient access to WASH services remains the main predisposing factor for cholera in the WHO African region. Political leaders should invest more in access to WASH, strengthen multisectoral collaboration, and improve availability of needed tools to increase the likelihood of meeting cholera elimination goals by 2030.

Indexed as

CholeraDisease OutbreaksAfricaClimate ChangeCross-Sectional StudiesHumansHygieneSanitationWater SupplyWorld Health OrganizationCholeraControl strategiesEpidemiologyGlobal HealthPublic Health

Identifiers

PMID39848637
PMCPMC11891530

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.