Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39845984›Full record

ArticleThe Lancet regional health. Western Pacific2025

Spirometric pattern and cardiovascular risk: a prospective study of 0.3 million Chinese never-smokers.

Yinqi Ding, Jingcen Hu, Canqing Yu, Dianjianyi Sun, Pei Pei, Ling Yang, Yiping Chen, Huaidong Du, Libo Zhang, Dan Schmidt and 6 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. [Development of a machine learning-based model for assessing pulmonary function in elderly patients].Nan fang yi ke da xue xue bao = Journal of Southern Medical University
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Yinqi DingDepartment of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing 100191, China.
Jingcen HuDepartment of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing 100191, China.
Canqing YuDepartment of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing 100191, China.
Dianjianyi SunDepartment of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing 100191, China.
Pei PeiPeking University Center for Public Health and Epidemic Preparedness & Response, Beijing 100191, China.
Ling YangClinical Trial Service Unit & Epidemiological Studies Unit (CTSU), Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, United Kingdom.
Yiping ChenClinical Trial Service Unit & Epidemiological Studies Unit (CTSU), Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, United Kingdom.
Huaidong DuClinical Trial Service Unit & Epidemiological Studies Unit (CTSU), Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, United Kingdom.
Libo ZhangNon-communicable Chronic Diseases Prevention and Control Department, Liuyang Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Hunan, 410300, China.
Dan SchmidtClinical Trial Service Unit & Epidemiological Studies Unit (CTSU), Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, United Kingdom.
Maxim BarnardClinical Trial Service Unit & Epidemiological Studies Unit (CTSU), Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, United Kingdom.
Junshi ChenChina National Center for Food Safety Risk Assessment, Beijing, China.
Zhengming ChenClinical Trial Service Unit & Epidemiological Studies Unit (CTSU), Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, United Kingdom.
Liming LiDepartment of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing 100191, China.
Jun LvDepartment of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing 100191, China.
China Kadoorie Biobank Collaborative Group

Funding

Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Existing studies have not provided robust evidence about the CVD risk of non-smoking patients with restrictive spirometric pattern (RSP) or airflow obstruction (AFO), and how the risk is modified by body shape. We aimed to bridge the gap. Methods: We used never-smokers' data from the China Kadoorie Biobank (CKB) and performed Cox models by sex (278,953 females and 50,845 males). Spirometry was used to assess the baseline spirometric pattern. CVD outcomes were captured through multiple sources. Findings: Females' results were presented primarily, though males' results were similar. During a median 12-year (maximum 14.5 years) follow-up, both RSP and AFO patients had increased risks of acute myocardial infarction (AMI), other ischaemic heart disease (other IHD), heart failure, pulmonary heart disease, arrhythmia, and intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH). RSP was also associated with ischaemic stroke (IS). The HRs (95% CIs) for AFO in females ranged from 1.29 (1.15-1.45) for ICH to 8.84 (7.79-10.03) for pulmonary heart disease, while those for RSP ranged from 1.11 (1.08-1.15) for IS to 3.17 (2.80-3.59) for pulmonary heart disease. These risks increased with the severity of AFO and reduced FVC. RSP/AFO was more strongly associated with other IHD, heart failure, and pulmonary heart disease in underweight females than in normal and obese counterparts, respectively. Interpretation: With the confounding of smoking fully controlled, both RSP and AFO were associated with higher risks of various CVD outcomes, which further increased with the severity of AFO and reduced FVC. These associations were even stronger in underweight individuals. Funding: National Natural Science Foundation of China, National Key Research and Development Program of China, Ministry of Science and Technology of the People's Republic of China, Kadoorie Charitable Foundation, UK Wellcome Trust, UK Medical Research Council, Cancer Research UK, and British Heart Foundation.

Indexed as

Cardiovascular diseaseChronic obstructive pulmonary diseaseForced expiratory volume in one secondObesityRestrictive lung functionUnderweight

Identifiers

PMID39845984
PMCPMC11750506

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.